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Wizards vs. Pacers NBA Playoff Series Betting Lines

The Washington Wizards (No. 5) and Indiana Pacers (No. 1) start their Eastern Conference series on Monday (May 5th 2014). After watching the Pacers struggle mightily down the stretch and in their 1st round series against the Hawks, I like the Wizards to win this series and move onto the conference finals.

Pacers vs. Wizards Series Odds

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It makes sense that the #1 team in the East are favorites to win the series, but should they be priced so high? Indiana needed seven games to beat the Hawks with no Al Horford. Meanwhile, the Wizards only needed five games to knock off the Chicago Bulls.

Can the Pacers Ride Paul George into the Eastern Conference Finals?

Without Paul George the Pacers would be golfing right now. George led the Pacers with 23.9 PPG, 10.7 RPG and 2.4 SPG against ATL in the opening round of the playoffs. He was also forced to average 40.6 MPG and he may be worn out if this series goes deep.

Stephenson (15.4 PPG, 8.9 RPG & 3.0 APG) and David West (13.4 PPG, 6.9 RPG & 4.9 APG) both played well in R1, but I wasn’t overly impressed with George Hill. Roy Hibbert was also terrible for the entire series until game 7 when he stepped up like we know he can.

One advantage that the Pacers had against Atlanta was size and toughness, but that won’t be the case against Washington. Indiana averaged 45.0 RPG, 8.0 SPG and 6.29 BPG against the Hawks, which was above their season average in each statistical category.

Five players for the Pacers averaged over 10 MPG in the 1st round. The bench averaged 26 PPG and 13.7 RPG. Watson and Scola both played great in R1. If Indiana wants to win this series against the Wizards they need bench contributions from their role players.

Will the Wizards Youth Lead Them Past the #1 Seed in the East?

Who else was surprised by the dominance of the Wizards over the Bulls? I thought the Wizards would win the series, but I certainly didn’t expect them to win the series 4-1 with a 3-0 record on the road. The lack of playoff experience wasn’t evident in R1.

The Wizards starters all averaged double digits against the Bulls. Bradley Beal (19.8 PPG), John Wall (18.8 PPG), Nene Hilario (17.8 PPG), Trevor Ariza (15.6 PPG) and Marcin Gortat (10.8 PPG) all played great against one of the best defensive teams in the NBA.

This is one of the few teams with excellent perimeter shooters and big men that can bang in the paint. After beating the Bulls this team has to feel confident that they can outscore the Pacers as well. They have less depth, but their starting five is better than IND.

Nene only played in 53 games during the regular season due to injuries, but he was the third most efficient player on the Wizards this season behind only Wall and Drew Gooden. In the playoffs Nene is averaging 17.8 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 3.3 APG and 1.75 SPG.

Why the Washington Wizards Will Beat the Indiana Pacers

The Wizards are one of the best teams at moving the basketball quickly and scoring fast break points while the Pacers like to set up their half-court offense. Washington can play the half-court game as well, but they have a definite edge in fast break scoring.

Indiana won’t be able to match the speed of Washington and I’d give the edge in the paint to the Wizards as well. Hibbert has had a terrible season and West won’t be able to match the size of Gortat or Nene. Washington should get plenty of second chances.

Against the Bulls they pulled down an average of 11.4 ORPG and Chicago has a better interior defense than Indiana. The Pacers still have some edges to exploit including experience and a bench that should contribute much more than the Wizards bench.

The problem with the Pacers is that their edges in this series won’t be enough to win them the series. Washington has a lot of young talent that will be able to run the basketball for 7 games if need be and the Pacers will be worn down after a gruelling R1 series.

During the regular season the Pacers had the best home record in the NBA (35-6), but they went 2-2 at home against Atlanta. They can be beat at home and I expect the Wizards to steal home court advantage tomorrow night with a win, as they’re well rested.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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