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Wisconsin vs. Duke picks – National Championship 2015

Bet on the 2015 NCAAB National Championship#1 Wisconsin Badgers vs. #1 Duke Blue Devils

When: Monday, April 6th 2015 at 9:20pm ET
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis
Watch: CBS

Kentucky’s run came to an end on Saturday and now the 2015 NCAA Basketball National Championship is set – the #1 Wisconsin Badgers will play the #1 Duke Blue Devils on Monday night in Indianapolis.

Duke started slowly in their Final Four match-up against Michigan State, but they pulled away in the 2H and it ended up not even being close. I doubt many of you had Wisconsin vs. Duke in your brackets, but that is what’s great about March Madness.

Latest betting lines in the Badgers vs. Blue Devils

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Surprisingly, the action has been basically split on Wisconsin and Duke covering the small point spread. I would have expected Duke to be getting less action after the Badgers thoroughly beat Kentucky, but that hasn’t been the case at the time of publishing.

Starting line-ups

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Wisconsin Badgers:

Duke Blue Devils:

Duke start three guards and prefer playing small ball on the perimeter while feeding Okafor the basketball inside. Wisconsin values size more, but Bo Ryan ensures he has big men that can also stretch the court and nail the 3-point shot consistently.

Will the Badgers or Blue Devils be crowned National Champions?

The Blue Devils are looking to win their fifth National Championship – they last won the tournament in 2010. Wisconsin have only made the finals once back in 1941 and they won the title. They finally made it back – will they be able to win the title again?

Let’s take a quick look at how these two teams match-up against each other.

Offensive statistics:

Defensive statistics:

Will Duke’s offense take over this game or will the efficient Badgers overcome their final obstacle? Duke ranks considerably better in most offensive categories, but that doesn’t tell the whole story, as Wisconsin are the most efficient team in college basketball.

The size of Wisconsin and the fact they stretch the court will be tough for Duke to handle. Duke have limited size and their big men are better at defending in the paint than running around the perimeter chasing the Badgers shooting big men.

Kaminsky is coming off a double-double (20 points and 11 rebounds) against Kentucky on 7-11 shooting from the field. Dekker was able to remain hot, as he finished with 16 points on 6-9 shooting from the field and Hayes knocked down two big 3-pointers.

Okafor (18 points) and Winslow (19 points) did most of the damage against MSU, but Cook pitched in with 17 points too. Duke shot 52% from the field (26-50), but only 20% (2-10) from deep. MSU fell apart though, so don’t expect to score 80+ points again.

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Duke Blue Devils predictions

Duke and Wisconsin played each other in December and the Blue Devils won by ten points (80-70). Jones exploded for 22 points to lead all scorers for Duke, while Traevon Jackson led Wisconsin with 25 points, although Jackson’s production was an anomaly.

Wisconsin did a great job limiting Okafor to 13 points and 6 rebounds, but they allowed Duke to shoot 65.2% from the field and 58.3% from 3-point land. If the Blue Devils match those numbers again they’ll definitely win the National Championship.

However, Wisconsin are clearly playing better basketball at this point in the season compared to December. I figured Wisconsin would be around a –4 or –5 point favorite in the point spread market, so at –1 I’ll be betting on them to win.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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