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Week 14 Moneyline Upset: Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions

Chicago Bears(3–9) @ Detroit Lions(8–4)

  • Where: Ford Field. Detroit, Michigan
  • When: December 11, 2016 1:00 pm EST
  • Spread: Bears +9 (-120) vs. Lions -9 (+100)
  • Moneyline: Bears (+355) vs. Lions (-455)
  • Over / Under: Over 43.5 (-110) vs. Under 43.5 (-110)

Two NFC North rivals square off this Sunday for some smash mouth Week 14 December football in the NFL. It’s the division-leading Detroit Lions vs. the already-irrelevant Chicago Bears.

You’d imagine that this would be a cold weather game, but with the Lions one of the two NFC North teams that play inside a dome, on-field conditions should be perfect as usual, barring another Metrodome-roof-collapse situation.

While all signs point towards the Lions as taking care of business against the bad, bad Bears, division games always merit a closer look. Let’s take a look at these two teams and ask whether there might be value in taking the Bears moneyline, listed at +355 at the Bovada sportsbook.

Detroit Lions Are Not as Good as Everyone Thinks

Lions vs. Bears Predictions Wk 14The Detroit Lions have received a lot of buzz this year, and with good reason. The off-season additions of wide receivers Anquan Boldin and Marvin Jones have served as a more than adequate replacement for the retirement of aged star Calvin Johnson. The two combine for 10 touchdowns and over 1100 yards.

There are no major injuries or personnel changes that would point to the Lions giving away this game, at home vs. a clearly inferior division opponent. They are surging, and buzz in the locker room is high.

However, the Lions haven’t won the division in almost 25 years, and third year head coach Jim Caldwell hasn’t made any dramatic improvements to the team that would indicate that this year is the year. With two divisional games remaining as well as road games against the 8–4 New York Giants and league-leading 11–1 Dallas Cowboys, Detroit’s true character is going to come out in December.

And if the Lions don’t win the division, they’re not likely to make the playoffs at all, with the strength of the wild card race, particularly if they lose to the Giants. All signs point to the Lions’ success being fraudulent, and getting exposed over the upcoming weeks.

Chicago Bears Are Not as Bad as Everyone Thinks

The Chicago Bears have seemingly had a hex on them since the arrival of quarterback Jay Cutler. Regardless of what the reality is concerning his play, his demeanor, his locker room presence, and his preparation, it’s an undeniable fact that he has generated a lot of controversy that reflects negatively on the team, and distracts them from building up their struggling franchise.

The Bears haven’t made the playoffs since Cutler’s first year as a starter in Chicago, and since then have gone through so many personnel and coaching changes that the team is almost completely unrecognizable. But now Cutler is gone, and after losing both Jay Cutler and backup Brian Hoyer for the season, Chicago is now starting itinerant backup Matt Barkley, and rallying behind him.

There’s no doubt that the Bears are fed up with the chatter about how bad they are and angry about the status of their season. The Bears are 2–1 against division opponents this year, and have three more divisional games remaining. The two losses we expect to see from the Lions (Giants, Cowboys) have already been tacked onto the Bears’ record.

All signs point to Chicago equalizing their record a little bit during the last four games of the season, and that starts with this matchup against the Detroit Lions.

Why There’s Good Value in the Chicago Bears Moneyline Bet

You can bet the Bears ML (+355) at Bovada and get up to a $250 cash bonus.

Notice that I didn’t title this section “why I guarantee that the Chicago Bears will win this game.” All statistical signs point to the opposite direction. I’ll freely admit that the Lions are the better team, hands down. This game could easily be over in the second quarter with the Lions up by 3 touchdowns.

However, gamblers are always looking for the best value – there’s no such thing as a sure thing. And at +355, there’s good value in the Bears’ moneyline. This is also the reason the Bears have been getting so much action against the spread (Bears line is at -120; Lions at +100).

There’s no more of a loose cannon than a pissed off division opponent with nothing to lose, and this is precisely the type of Chicago team that will come into Detroit with a chip on their shoulder. The Bears have already beaten the Lions once, and they will be fired up to do it again. With both quarterbacks prone to throw interceptions, both defenses stout, and perfect conditions, this game could go any which way.

David HeinenThis article was written by David Heinen

David Heinen is a freelance psychology writer by day, inveterate NFL junkie by night. Born and raised on the Green Bay Packers, David is a die-hard Cheesehead, not to mention a cheese enthusiast in his spare time.

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