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Washington at Kansas City MNF Odds, Preview and Prediction

Washington Redskins (2-1) @ Kansas City Chiefs (3-0 )

  • Where: Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City, MO
  • When: October 2, 2017 8:30 pm EST
  • Spread: Washington (+7) at Kansas City (-7)
  • Moneyline: Washington (+240) at Kansas City (+280)
  • Over / Under: Over 49 (-110) vs Under 49 (-110)

Lombardi said that when a team has a strength or a weakness, it tends to remain a strength or remain a weakness. That’s how the Kansas City Chiefs could lose a dynamic defensive superstar like Eric Berry in Week 1, and keep right on banging, crashing and frustrating opposing QBs.

The Chiefs are a perfect 3-0 after beating the New England Patriots at Foxboro, then whipping the Eagles and the Chargers as a prelude to the showdown on Monday Night Football. Only the Falcons can boast of such terrific form only three games into the season.

But their counterparts from Washington D.C. have a lot to boast of as well, having just embarrassed the Oakland Raiders 27-10 in a highly-anticipated Week 3 contest. Oakland gunslinger Derek Carr was intercepted twice, while all was peaches and cream in the pocket for Redskin QB Kirk Cousins.

The story line in KC usually revolves around coach Andy Reid’s use of Alex Smith’s right arm compared to the Chiefs’ other weapons. But this time, the plot will be the Redskins offensive line and RBs against Kansas City’s ominous pass rush.

Vegas odds-makers believe the latter will prevail, installing the Chiefs as a touchdown favorite.

“The toughest team in the Federal League”

Like the Hanson Brothers did for Reggie Dunlop, the Kansas City Chiefs’ roughneck defense is turning Reid’s reputation from that of a finesse/chalkboard guru into the leader of a tribe of invaders.

A revitalized Justin Houston and teammate Chris Jones have combined for seven sacks, and the Chiefs defense has 24 combined tackles-for-loss. Opposing RBs are finding only tough sledding on the ground, and have been badly out-rushed by KC over three games.

Those kinds of numbers abide excellent field position, of which Alex Smith has been taking advantage. The veteran is red-hot with an almost 80% completion rate and a 132.7 passer rating. Not convinced Smith is playing at a high level? Seven touchdown passes. Zero interceptions. It’s not always just about yardage – why pass for 300 yards if you don’t need to?

Kareem Hunt is providing a spark in the running game, with a terrific 401 yards on the season so far.

Fight for old D.C.

The Redskins turned in a masterful defensive performance of their own in Week 3 against the Raiders. Therefore, it would help to look closely at the visiting defense too, before placing any kingly (or queenly) bets. Especially as the ‘Skins have a hot QB and a productive offense of their own.

Jay Gruden’s squad attacked Oakland right where it hurt, using run blitzes to stuff a “committee” of talented but unsettled tailbacks. The Silver & Black rushed for an aggregate 100+ yards, but an identity crisis at RB didn’t get any better as Washington stifled any momentum up front, and kept the Raiders one-dimensional. Carr was sacked 4 times, and intercepted twice.

But in Weeks 1 and 2 the Redskins defense looked a lot more ordinary. Jared Goff and Todd Gurley were allowed to look alive in the 27-20 win over L.A., and the opener against Philly could not have gone much worse on either side of the football. There’s nothing to suggest that the nation’s capital is fostering a legendary shut-down ‘D.

In through the (cash) out door

Bet on Over (49) total points at Bovada Sportsbook and receive a 50% welcome bonus!

MSB is recommending a bet on the over (49) points. Why, after so much bragging on defense?

Two reasons. First, there’s no denying the surge either quarterback is making, especially with receivers like KC’s Tyreek Hill averaging 15+ yards per catch. But more to the point – this could be a blow-out by the Chiefs.

Monday Night Football is no stranger to lopsided games, and the Redskins haven’t seen anything like the efficiency Smith is bringing to the table right now. Imagine handing off to someone you knew was going to gain 5, 15 or 30 yards 80% of the time you gave him the football. The supporting cast around Alex Smith is playing so well that the offense may be indomitable at home for the time being.

We think KC will ring up 30+ points and then relax, leading to an easy win on the over as well as a possible all-in bet on the Chiefs to cover the point spread. You can bet confidently ATS, but the over wager could be safer if Cousins finds any time in the pocket late.

Kurt BoyerThis article was written by Kurt Boyer

A freelance sportswriter from Missouri, Kurt has covered court, gridiron, rink and ring for 10+ years. He muses about High School football on social media as The Gridiron Geek.

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