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UFC 261 Method of Victory Props Predictions

Kamaru Usman(18-1) @ Jorge Masvidal(35-14)

  • Where: VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena. Jacksonville, FL
  • When: April 24, 2021 12:00 pm EST
  • Moneyline:

    UFC 261 Method of Victory Props:

    Kamaru Usman by Decision (-125)
    Weili Zhang by TKO/KO (+240)
    Valtentina Shevchenko by TKO/KO (+215)

UFC 261 Method of Victory PicksUFC 261 is on Saturday at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Florida.

The event will be at full capacity on Saturday in Florida.

There are three title fights on the main card, so you don’t want to miss the action. The three titles up for grabs are the welterweight, women’s strawweight and women’s flyweight.

The three UFC champions putting their titles on the line are all favored to win.

Two of the titleholders are big favorites, so rather than bet on the money line, we’re going to bet on the UFC 261 method of victory props, as that’s where the value is this weekend.

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Usman vs. Masvidal Props Picks

Kamaru Usman (18-1) is 13-0 in the UFC since joining the promotion in 2015. Nobody has been able to defeat The Nigerian Nightmare in the UFC. Usman has 8 TKO/KO wins and 9 decision wins.

Usman will be fighting Jorge Masvidal (35-14) for the second time in the main event.

These two fought last year and Usman won a five-round decision. He dominated the fight. He won the striking battle (94-66) and he also landed five takedowns. Expect more of the same.

Masvidal had a short camp for the first fight, but I don’t think anything is going to change.

Usman is an elite grappler and Masvidal will spend most of the fight on the mat. Masvidal’s best shot at winning the title will be to land a knockout shot in the opening frame.

The longer the fight lasts, the more likely Usman will end up winning.

Zhang vs. Namajunas Props Picks

We’re getting a great price on Weili Zhang (21-1) to win by TKO/KO against Rose Namajunas (9-4).

Zhang is undefeated in the UFC (5-0). She’s coming off a win against Joanna Jedrzejczyk. The close split decision win earned the “Fight of the Year” title for 2020. This fight will be just as interesting.

Zhang is well-rounded with 7 TKO/KO wins and 10 submission wins. She has elite power and can end a fight with a single strike. She averages 6.38 SLpM (Namajunas lands 4.13 SLpM).

Namajunas will have a 2” reach advantage and may find success early on with her boxing, but can she eat shots from Zhang for five rounds? Andrade knocked out Namajunas back in 2019.

Namajunas bounced back with a split decision win against Andrade in 2020.

Both of these women are capable of winning the title on Saturday, but my money is on Zhang to win by TKO/KO. While a bit less technical than her opponent, she makes up for it with raw power.

Shevchenko vs. Andrade Props Picks

Valentina Shevchenko (20-3) has been dominating the women’s flyweight division since first winning the title against Jedrzejczyk in 2018. She has already defended her title four times.

She’s coming off a decision win against Jennifer Maia. She dominated in the win, but was unable to secure a finish. However, she has two knockout wins in her last four fights.

She’ll fight Jessica Andrade (21-8) on the UFC 261 main card. Andrade only moved to flyweight last year and she defeated Katlyn Chookagian by knockout (body shots) in the first round.

Prior to that win, Andrade had lost two fights in a row against Zhang and Namajunas.

Andrade has power (8 TKO/KO wins). Her last three wins have been by KO. However, unless she’s able to surprise Shevchenko early in the fight with a barrage of powerful strikes, she’s in trouble.

Shevchenko is extremely technical. She only averages 2.98 SLpM, but she has great striking defense (2.03 SApM). Andrade is much more active (6.38 SLpM), but she eats a lot of shots (5.26 SApM).

I do think this fight will be a war and one of these two fighters will get knocked out. My money is on Shevchenko to get the job done again to give Andrade her fourth knockout loss.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.


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