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UFC 208 Fight Odds: Holm vs. De Randamie Predictions

Germaine De Randamie(6-3-0) @ Holly Holm(10-2-0)

  • Where: Barclays Center. Brooklyn, New York
  • When: February 11, 2017 9:00 pm EST
  • Moneyline: Holm (+100) vs de Randamie (-130)

A vintage anti-bully tactic, invented by the Stoic Philosophers of Greece, involves simply agreeing with the verbal aggressor…and adding a few other self-criticisms. Then, moving on.

Ronda Rousey took time out to bash Holly Holm, to whom she lost the Bantamweight crown in Melbourne in November of 2015, in interviews leading up to the Nunes-Rousey showdown at UFC 207. Rousey refused to credit The Lioness for her win over Holm, calling the latter “the Buster Douglas of MMA.” Douglas, of course, was a flash-in-the-pan who knocked out an ailing Mike Tyson before losing the belt and fading into the pack.

How six weeks can change a landscape. The chirpy Rousey was embarrassed by Nunes in a fight that may have ended Rousey’s shoot-fighting career. Meanwhile, the veteran Holm has chosen to embrace her own brand of scrappy one-shot upstart rather than combat it. “Every fight should be treated like it’s my last fight,” she told MMA Junkie on Wednesday. “I’m never promised another day…you never know what’s going to happen.”

UFC 208 PredictionsIn a well-booked UFC 208 main event, Holm will fight Dutch kick-boxer Germaine de Randamie to determine an inaugural Featherweight women’s champion, with up to ten pounds of added bulk for each former Bantamweight. With a win, Holm could become only the fourth fighter in UFC history to capture belts in two weight classes.

But bookies don’t find it very likely. Slight favorite’s odds are going to de Randamie, with odds-makers skeptical that Holm can handle a talented opponent in midst of a two-fight skid.

Is there value in a money line play on the Preacher’s Daughter? Or will another European martial artist prevail in a main event, as Valentina Shevchenko did in January?

Value in Holm – if she avoids the judges

Holly Holm, a swarming striker with powerful kicks in her repertoire, was an undefeated champion until getting rear-choked by Meisha Tate last March. Then, she lost a decision to Shevchenko in a fight that probably has a lot to do with Holm’s (+100) money line odds at Bovada on Saturday.

But this fight is a toss-up, or Holm is the slight true favorite. Shevchenko and de Randamie may have similar styles, but the Dutchwoman has lost six of nine MMA fights. In 2013, Amanda Nunes crushed her in four minutes.

Holm can win by out-boxing and out-foxing the 32 year-old de Randamie, using swarming punches to set up kicks and knees. Based on Holm’s lack of striking accuracy in her last two bouts, you would be a little nervous to see it go to a decision, so consider limiting your wager. But any knockout or submission will go to the American in a minor upset.

Brunson vs. Silva – nostalgia affecting the lines?

Anderson Silva and Derek Brunson have been moved to a co-main event slot next to the Holm fight, and Silva has been given almost toss-up odds for the battle. Considering Silva’s advanced age and the circumstances, there’s something funny about Brunson’s scant (-155) money line odds.

Silva has lost five fights in a row, vowing courageously not to retire and to claw his way back to form. Regretfully, Brunson is not a “get well” opponent but a brawler, equally forceful in striking and on the ground. The Spider simply can’t muster the energy to stay out of trouble with the new era of fierce grapplers that Brunson represents.

The odds and the action for this bout are slanted toward a brand, not a fight prediction. Brunson is a terrific value wager and should win easily over a worn-down legend.

Preliminary parlay

Wager on the UFC 208 prelims at the Bovada Sportsbook ($250 Bonus).

For those looking to spice up the waiting game and parlay a bet alongside a Holm or Brunson pick, look for value in a couple of preliminary bouts.

Islam Makhachev, a 25 year-old Russian with a one-loss record, is given surprisingly modest odds (-300) to clobber Nik Lentz, a veteran Lightweight with motor on the ground. No one denies that it will be an interesting fight, but Makhachev is a rising talent with fearsome striking power and should overwhelm his older opponent in a few rounds.

In another money line guffaw, Ian McCall and Jarred Brooks are given (-120) and (-110) respectively in a Flyweight prelim. But McCall hasn’t fought in over two years, and Brooks is 8-0 with a mean streak. Consider pairing a Brooks winner with any other bet on the card – it might be as close to favorable odds as possible when playing a parlay.

Kurt BoyerThis article was written by Kurt Boyer

A freelance sportswriter from Missouri, Kurt has covered court, gridiron, rink and ring for 10+ years. He muses about High School football on social media as The Gridiron Geek.

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