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Texans vs. Jaguars Money Line

Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Preview

When: Thursday, December 5th 2013 at 8:25pm ET
Where: EverBank Field in Jacksonville, Florida
Watch: Live on the NFL Network

The Jacksonville Jaguars (3-9) have won three of their last four games including a road win over Cleveland (32-28) last week. The Jags are heading back home this week to host the Houston Texans (2-10) on Thursday night in an irrelevant AFC South divisional game.

Neither of these teams is going to make the playoffs this season. In week 12 these teams played each other in Houston and it was a very low scoring affair. Jacksonville came out on top (13-6) and they looked like the better throughout the entire game.

Texans vs. Jaguars ML Odds

I think the wrong team is favored in this match-up. Houston couldn’t beat the Jags a couple weeks ago at home. The Texans did look better last week against the Patriots, but they couldn’t hold on to a big 1H lead and they ended up losing the game (34-31).

Jacksonville on the other hand went down early last week against the Browns on the road, but they forced a few turnovers and took the lead before halftime. They hung on to win the game by four points after outscoring the Browns 12-7 in the 4th quarter.

Why I’m Betting on Jacksonville to Win

1. Jacksonville Has Improved at Running the Football

The Jaguars are still the worst rushing team in the NFL this season (70.6 RYPG), but on their recent 2-game winning streak they have gained 100+ yards on the ground. Maurice Jones-Drew and Jordan Todman have combined for 223 rushing yards the L2 weeks.

Jones-Drew gained 84 rushing yards and 1 TD on just 14 carries against Houston in week 12. Houston has allowed 116 RYPG (20th) on average this season and it has cost them multiple games. If you can’t stop the run your defense ends up on the field for too long.

2. Case Keenum is Struggling

Case Keenum started off great when he took over for Matt Schaub, but things have changed. Opposing teams have tape on him now and are preparing much better. Keenum had 8 TD’s and 1 INT, but in the last two weeks he has thrown 2 INT’s and 0 TD passes.

Jacksonville is allowing 250.7 PYPG (23rd) and last week against they allowed Brandon Weeden to throw for 370 yards. Josh Gordon absolutely shredded the secondary, but turnovers cost Cleveland. Keenum will pick up passing yards, but he’ll also turn the ball over.

3. The Jaguars Receivers Are Playing Better

Jacksonville has only averaged 215 PYPG (23rd) and the Texans are allowing just 187.9 PYPG (2nd). However, I expect the Jags to have success through the air on Thursday night. In the L2 weeks Houston has allowed 610 passing yards and they haven’t looked good.

I’ve been impressed with the #1/#2 punch of Cecil Shorts and Ace Sanders. In the last three weeks Sanders has stepped up his play, as he has caught 20 passes (26 Targets) for 189 receiving yards. Both WR’s are speedy and great when they get into the open field.

Texans vs. Jaguars Picks

Jacksonville is 0-5 at EverBank Field this season and this may be their best shot at winning a home game. The Jags still have to host the Bills and Titans, but with the way the Texans are playing right now (10 Straight Losses) this is the easiest game left for the Jags.

Before the win this season the Jags had lost five in a row against the Texans. There is no love lost between these two teams and I’m sure the Jaguars want to sweep the series for the first time since 2009. The Jags also don’t want last place in the AFC South.

Houston is 1-2 in division games this year, but they’re 0-3 ATS. The point spread isn’t likely to matter in this one, as the Texans are favored by –2.5 points, so it’ll come down to who wins. I was surprised to see the Jags at plus money and can’t pass them up.

After watching the Texans last week it looked like they were playing to win the game, but you have to wonder if the team may start to think about tanking in order to secure a top draft pick. As it stands now the Texans are in last place and in line for the #1 pick.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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