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Texans vs. Chiefs ATS Pick for NFL Week 1

Houston Texans(0-0) @ Kansas City Chiefs(0-0)

  • Where: Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City, MO
  • When: September 10, 2020 8:00 pm EST
  • Spread: Texans +10 (-110) vs. Chiefs -10 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Texans (+340) vs. Chiefs (-480)
  • Over / Under: Over 54.5 Points (-110) vs. Under 54.5 Points (-110)

Texans at Chiefs ATS PredictionThe Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) host the Houston Texans (0-0) in NFL week 1 action.

These two teams will kick-off the 2020-21 NFL season on Thursday Night Football (TNF). The defending Super Bowl champs are big favorites to defeat the Texans at Arrowhead.

Kansas City are one of four teams currently planning to have fans at home games.

The Chiefs are planning to operate Arrowhead at 22% capacity (16,812 fans). If nothing changes prior to kick-off in a couple weeks, we’ll see fans back in the stands at a major US sport.

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs Week 1 Line Movement

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We haven’t seen much line movement for the Chiefs vs. Texans on TNF.

We took a look at early NFL week 1 betting lines back on June 1st 2020 and the Chiefs were -10 (-110) favorites and the over/under was 55 points. Not much has changed in the last two months.

Kansas City is still a -10 against the spread favorite at home, but the total is now 54.5 points.

Action on the point spread has been essentially split (KC 55% vs. HOU 45%).

I’m not sure bookies are going to drop this line below KC -10, as they’d take a lot of bets on KC from the public, but I also believe bookmakers aren’t going to want to give us the Texans at +10.5 points.

Houston Texans Team Preview 2020

Everyone has taken turns bashing the Texans for trading WR DeAndre Hopkins.

They received RB David Johnson from the Cardinals in return. Johnson started nine games (13 GP) last season, but he only produced 345 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs (94 carries).

He was better through the air – catching 36 passes for 370 yards and 4 TDs.

They also signed WR Randall Cobb and traded for WR Brandin Cooks. I don’t like the Hopkins trade, but they did a good job replacing the production and giving QB Deshaun Watson some weapons.

Houston also lost D.J. Reader, Johnathan Joseph and Tashaun Gipson.

With Watson, Cooks, Cobb and Will Fuller V – the pass game should be fine. David Johnson will work with Duke Johnson in the Texans backfield. Both of these RBs are weapons in the passing game too.

However, the Texans definitely have problems on defense. They need J.J. Watt to stay healthy, while also finding his superstar form. The biggest concern on defense, though, is the secondary.

The Texans are likely going to need to score a lot of points, as the defense won’t win them games.

Kansas City Chiefs Team Preview 2020

The Chiefs are going to contend for the 2021 NFL Super Bowl, but repeating is always tough.

Kansas City will return 20 of 22 starters from last season, which is incredible.

While the defense still has some work to do, there are some great pieces. S Tyrann Mathieu did just about everything in his first season with the Chiefs last year and he’ll be back to lead the defense.

DE Frank Clark and DT Chris Jones combined for 17 sacks and that’ll improve in 2020.

What’s scary about this Chiefs team, though, is the record-breaking offense. Patrick Mahomes just signed a record-breaking deal this off-season (10 years at $450 million plus incentives).

WR Tyreek Hill is a threat to take it to the house on any play, which forces defenses to focus on him.

WRs Sammy Watkins and Mecole Hardman will find lots of open space. TE Travis Kelce has been the best tight end in football. He had 97 receptions for 1229 yards and 5 TDs last season.

Kelce became the first TE in history to have four consecutive seasons with 1000+ receiving yards.

Texans vs. Chiefs Recent Head-to-Head Results

These two teams played each other in the regular season last year in October. KC were at home and they ended up losing 31-24 despite jumping out to a big 17-3 lead in the first quarter.

However, in the 2020 NFL playoffs, the Chiefs got revenge, eliminating the Texans in the divisional round (51-31). HOU jumped out to a 21-0 1st quarter lead, but KC scored 28 points in the 2nd quarter.

Texans vs. Chiefs Against the Spread Prediction – NFL Week 1

You should always take the points when getting more than a touchdown in week 1.

Since 2003, NFL week 1 underdogs getting more than a TD have gone 17-7 ATS (70.8%). Watson is still a great QB and he’ll be hungry to get on the field with his new WRs.

I predict a shootout with the Chiefs winning SU, but failing to cover the point spread.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.


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