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Texans vs. Broncos Point Spread & Over/Under

What: Houston Texans vs. Denver Broncos: Week 3 NFL Football
When: 4:25 pm EST. Sunday, September 23, 2012
Where: Sports Authority Field at Mile High

The Houston Texans (2-0, 2-0 ATS) will have their first true test on the road this week against the Denver Broncos (1-1, 1-1 ATS). This should be an exciting game, and it’ll be interesting to see whether or not Peyton Manning can bounce back after last week’s debacle.

Texans vs. Broncos Betting Lines: Point Spread, Money Line & Over/Under

The Denver Broncos opened as a -1 point home favorite at the start of the week, but the Texans are now -2 point road favorites. The Texans vs. Broncos over/under has gone down a full point from 46 (-110) to 45 (-110). Bettors expect a steady dose of running in this game, resulting in a lower score.

US Friendly
US Friendly
Money Line
Money Line
Houston Texans
Denver Broncos
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
o44.5 (-105)
u44.5 (-115)
-3 (+110)
+3 (-130)
o45 (-110)
u45 (-110)
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Houston Texans

The Houston Texans haven’t had to rely on the passing game a whole lot, but this week they may need to open it up. The Broncos rank 7th stopping the run, allowing an average of just 71 RYPG. Foster and Tate should have a harder time running the ball against the Broncos D.

Houston has the 6th ranked rushing attack with an average of 149.5 RYPG. Andre Johnson and the rest of the Texans WR’s were nonexistent in week 2 against the Jaguars. In that game, Owen Daniels and Arian Foster led the team with six receptions each. With the Broncos tough D-line, QB Matt Schaub is going to need to find his WR’s more often to win this road game.

Houston’s #1 ranked defense will need to continue applying pressure on Peyton Manning, hoping to force him into mistakes. This season the Texans have averaged 3 sacks and 2.5 takeaways per game. If they can continue to be this effective, the Texans have a good shot at the win.

Denver Broncos

Beating the Steelers in week 1 was great, but week 2 was a wake up call for the Denver Broncos. There are still some kinks to work out on the offense, as Peyton Manning threw 3 INT’s and questions about his arm strength are popping up.

I don’t expect Manning to play like he did last week, but I think he’ll have some troubles. The Texans defense ranks #1 in total defense and passing yards allowed after the first two weeks of the season, allowing just 124 PYPG. Rushing the ball won’t be easy against Houston either.

RB Willis McGahee picked up 113 rushing yards and 2 TD’s on 22 carries on MNF, but most of that came in the 2nd half when the Falcons were resting on their lead. The Denver Broncos defense has been tough though, so I expect this game to be very close all the way to the end – as long as there aren’t too many turnovers.

Texans @ Broncos Point Spread

I expect Houston to win this game against Denver, even though they’re on the road. Denver beat Pittsburgh at home in week 1 and the public will be betting on the Broncos. Houston won’t run the football as well this week, but Schaub will find his WR’s this week and they’ll win a close game.

Texans Point Spread

The Houston Texans point spread is now -2 (-110) at BetOnline and -3 (+110) at Bovada. Even with +110 I don’t like giving up a field goal in this one. This could easily be a one or two point game, and I’m hoping for a 2-point push at the worst.

I’m betting the Texans point spread of -2 (-110) at BetOnline.com.

Broncos Point Spread

At the time this article is being written (Saturday @ 9:30pm EST), the Broncos point spread is +2 (-110) at BetOnline and +3 (-130) at Bovada. I prefer the Texans in this game so I won’t be betting on the Broncos point spread. However, if you prefer the Broncos, it comes down to paying $.20 for one extra point. A loss by a field goal gives you a push at Bovada, or a loss at BetOnline…but of course you’re paying for that insurance.

Houston vs. Denver Money Line

The current Texans vs. Broncos money line is Texans -130 / Broncos +110 at BetOnline.com. Bovada is always slow to post their money lines, and even now, Saturday night, they still haven’t posted their money line for this game. Oye.

Texans Money Line

I don’t like the Texans money line because I expect them to win by a field goal or more. Therefore, I don’t see any value in paying -130 for insurance I don’t think we’ll need. If you agree with me, skip the Texans money line and bet the point spread instead.

Broncos Money Line

The Denver Broncos money line is +110 at BetOnline right now. Since I expect the Texans to win SU of course I won’t bet the Broncos money line. If you like the Broncos to win straight-up, you’ll save $.20 on the money line, giving up the 2 points on the spread.

Broncos vs. Texans Over/Under

This game will most likely feature both teams trying to establish the run early. Manning made a lot of mistakes last week and I don’t think the Broncos will want this game to get away from them in the 1st quarter again. Houston has also struggled with the passing game so far, and now they go against a tough Broncos defense on the road. I liked the under when the O/U was 46 points, but now that it’s 44.5 the value on the total is gone.

I expect a score in the range of 24-17 to 27-21, giving us a range of 41 to 48 points. With the over/under now at 44.5, this looks like a coin-flip to me. I don’t bet coin-flips, so I’ll be staying away from the Texans @ Broncos over/under.

This article was written by Jess

Jess is the editor of MobileSportsBetting.com. His job duties include everything nobody else is doing, and making sure it all gets done on time. When he gets a chance, Jess loves to write about NFL, MLB, Formula 1, and tennis betting.

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