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Steelers vs. Raiders Betting Lines

What: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Oakland Raiders: Week 3 NFL Football
When: 4:25 pm EST. Sunday, September 23, 2012
Where: O.co Coliseum

In a battle between the meanest looking NFL uniforms, the winless Oakland Raiders 0-2 (0-2 ATS) host the Pittsburgh Steelers 1-1 (1-1 ATS) in week 3. The Raiders may look mean standing on the sidelines, but an 11 year old girl in the right costume can look pretty intimidating as well. Haven’t you seen Hit Girl?

The Raiders have looked terrible in the first two weeks, actually embarrassing their fans (for full-disclosure, I’m one of those fans). If the Raiders don’t take some major steps forward this week, the Steelers won’t have a problem winning this road game. The biggest question is, will they cover the spread?

Steelers vs. Raiders Betting Lines: Point Spread, Money Line & Over/Under

The Steelers point spread opened at -3 (-110) and the lines are starting to move now. The spread is going to increase this week, but won’t cross a key number. The over/under opened at 44 points and has moved to 45 at BetOnline, and 45.5 at Bovada. Both of these sportsbooks accept US bettors, offer mobile wagering, and take Visa credit cards for funding accounts.

US Friendly
US Friendly
Money Line
Money Line
Pittsburgh Steelers
Oakland Raiders
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
o45 (-110)
u45 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
o45.5 (-110)
u45.5 (-110)

Pittsburgh Steelers

The Pittsburgh Steelers rebounded from a week 1 loss to the Broncos with a comfortable 27-10 win over the Jets in week 2. Big Ben had a great game, completing 24/31 passes for 275 passing yards, 2 TD’s and 0 turnovers.

On the negative side, the Steelers running game wasn’t able to get going again in week 2, and Mike Tomlin is getting concerned. He hired offensive coordinator Todd Haley to improve the run game this season, but it hasn’t happened yet. RB Rashard Mendenhall still hasn’t suited up and he’s listed as ‘out’ for Sundays game against the Raiders. Jonathan Dwyer is listed as ‘probable’ for Sunday, and even if he plays he may not see more than 8-10 carries. Isaac Redman should be the starting RB, hoping to improve on the weak Steelers rushing stats for 2012.

Troy Polamalu and James Harrison are listed as ‘out’. WR Emmanuel Sanders and TE Heath Miller have had full practices this week, and are listed as ‘probable’.

Pittsburgh has averaged 237 passing yards per game (19th), but only 70.6 rush yards per game (30th). The Steelers defense has been one of the best units in the league (as usual), holding opponents to 184.5 PYPG (5th) and 92 RYPG (11th).

Oakland Raiders

The Oakland Raiders have looked awful so far this season and they need to turn it around before it’s too late. QB Carson Palmer has had a couple of decent games to begin the season with his limited receiving options, but the running game hasn’t done anything to help him. People are giving Palmer a hard time right now, but the loss of Jacoby Ford has really hurt the Raiders ability to break big plays. Palmer isn’t winning games right now, but the blame isn’t all on him.

RB Darren McFadden has 26 carries for only 54 rushing yards and 0 TD’s after two weeks. McFadden also leads the team with 15 catches, but his running game needs to pick up quickly. So far, the Raiders offense has been very predictable. McFadden is responsible for 15 of Palmer’s 56 completions, and 26 of the Raiders 34 rushing attempts. If McFadden isn’t rushing the ball, they’re probably throwing it to him. I don’t care how good a guy is, if everyone on the field knows it’s going to you, you’re not going to have much success. On the bright side for the Raiders, TE Brandon Myers has 11 receptions for 151 receiving yards.

As bad as they’ve looked, Oakland actually ranks 8th in passing yards (324.5 PYPG), and Palmer has only thrown 1 INT. However, their rushing game is ranked 31st (34 RYPG), and is completely one-dimensional right now.

The Oakland Raiders defense has done well to stop the pass (207.5 PYPG Allowed – 5th), but they have been shredded on the ground (147.5 RYPG allowed – 29th). Fortunately for the Raiders, the Steelers rushing game has yet to get going as well.

The Raiders are -2 in the turnover department, which doesn’t sound too bad until you think of it in season-long terms. If they ended the season -16 (1 per game), we’d all consider that to be awful. Another major area in need of improvement is time of possession. In the first two games, the Raiders are averaging 27:22, giving their opponents offense an extra 5:15 on the field. Of course it also means the Raiders defense is putting in that much more work, and more likely to fade late in games. This is a direct result of the non-existent running game, and an area they must improve on this Sunday.

Steelers/Raiders Point Spread

Unless the Raiders can suddenly tighten-up in a number of areas (unlikely), Pittsburgh should win this game and cover the point spread. I would have preferred getting -3 in this game, but even at -3.5 I expect them to cover.

Steelers Point Spread

I prefer the Steelers point spread of -3.5 (-110) at BetOnline over -4.5 (-105) at Bovada. I don’t like giving up a full point for a nickel. If this turned into a 24-20 game I’d be kicking myself for being greedy on this one.

Raiders Point Spread

As mentioned above, I’m a die-hard Raider fan (don’t hold it against me). However, I separate my betting from my heart, and I don’t like what I’ve seen from the Raiders so far this season. Have they given us a legitimate reason to believe they can hang with the Steelers? In Oakland, they lost to San Diego in week 1 (22-14), then got whooped 35-13 by the Dolphins in Miami in week 2. They scored just one TD in each of their first two games, and until their offense wakes up, we have no business betting on them in tight spreads against good teams. I’m staying away from the Raiders point spread, and suggest that you do the same. If they find some way to win this game, we can start giving them more respect in week four, but for now, they’re not a good bet.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Oakland Raiders Money Line

The latest Raiders vs. Steelers money line doesn’t offer value to bettors that want to back Pittsburgh. The Steelers are -190 while the Raiders are paying just +165. Up to this point, the Raiders haven’t shown us anything to suggest they can beat the Steelers. I would consider the Steelers money line if it got down to something like -160, but that’s not going to happen. I think the point spread is too close, keeping us from finding any value on the money line.

Raiders vs. Steelers Over/Under

The Raiders vs. Steelers over/under might be my favorite bet of week 3. My bet is u45.5 (-110) at Bovada, and I like the under for a number of reasons.

The Steelers should be able to limit the Raiders offense, and I expect the Steelers to establish the run early on. With plenty of running plays and a slow pace to the game, I think we’ll see the Steelers win the game by a 24-10 or 21-13 type of score. Even if it surpasses my expectations and ends up 24-20, the under still wins. Can the Raiders put up 20 against the Steelers when they could only muster 14 and 13 against the Chargers and Dolphins respectively? I doubt it. If they put up 14, then the Steelers will need no less than 32. They put up 19 against the Broncos in week 1, and 27 against the Jets.

To win the over, we’re asking both teams to score more than they have in either of their first two games, which isn’t likely to happen. I expect the Raiders vs. Steelers over/under to come down before game time, so I recommend getting this bet in now.

DonBest Video Preview of Steelers vs. Raiders Week 3

In this video, the DonBest guys don’t really have anything to say that we don’t already know, but maybe they can help solidify anything you were already thinking.

Hit Girl, from the Movie Kick-Ass

Who’s tougher, the Oakland Raiders or Hit Girl? Back to Top

This article was written by Jess

Jess is the editor of MobileSportsBetting.com. His job duties include everything nobody else is doing, and making sure it all gets done on time. When he gets a chance, Jess loves to write about NFL, MLB, Formula 1, and tennis betting.

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