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Saints vs. Buccaneers Moneyline Pick – NFL Week 9

New Orleans Saints(5-2) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers(6-2)

  • Where: Raymond James Stadium. Tampa, FL
  • When: November 8, 2020 8:00 pm EST
  • Spread: Saints +4 (-110) vs. Buccaneers -4 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Saints (+175) vs. Buccaneers (-210)
  • Over / Under: Over 50.5 Points (-110) vs. Under 50.5 Points (-110)

Saints vs. Buccaneers Week 9 PicksThe New Orleans Saints (5-2 / 2-5 ATS) are winning games, but not covering against the spread (ATS) very often. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2 / 4-4 ATS) currently lead the NFC South.

These two teams met in week 1 in New Orleans and the Saints dominated at home (34-23).

Both QBs tossed two passing touchdowns, but the big difference was two INTs by Tom Brady.

Saints at Buccaneers Betting Lines Movement

The Bucs opened up as a -4.5 favorite, but have dropped down to -4 points. The game total opened up at 54.5 points, but has been bet down a lot, as the total is now 50.5 points at Bovada.

Predicting the Winner in NO vs. TB for Week 9

Place a bet on the Saints to win this game at plus money (+175 Odds).

We’re getting a great price on the Saints to sweep the regular season series because they’re banged up, but it doesn’t appear to be too serious at the time of publishing (Thursday afternoon).

Drew Brees and Alvin Kamara are both questionable, but expected to play. Michael Thomas is listed as questionable, but there’s a bigger chance he’s going to miss his seventh consecutive game.

Chris Godwin is questionable for the Bucs, but they also have Antonio Brown suiting up.

Let’s take a look at how these two teams match-up statistically:

These two teams rank similarly on offense, but the Bucs are scoring slightly more.

On defense, the Buccaneers have a noticeable edge in most categories. The Bucs defense has been getting better as the season progresses, but they struggled a bit against NYG last week.

The Saints have dominated the head-to-head meetings as well. The Saints have won the last four H2H games against the Bucs and they’ve won six of the last eight H2H meetings.

This game is on primetime and I expect both offenses to have success, but the value on the Saints moneyline is too good to pass up. I’ll also have some action on the Saints ATS (+4).

Saints vs. Buccaneers Over/Under Pick

With the total dropping several points, I’m jumping on the over now before it jumps back up.

The last three H2H games have gone over the total and five of the last six H2H games have gone over the total. Both teams rank in the top ten in scoring this season as well.

Now that Brady has a new weapon in Brown, those numbers could continue increasing.

The Saints offense is tough to stop as well when Brees is playing. The Saints lowest scoring output this season was 24 points back in week 2. They’ve scored 30+ points four times this season.

Saints vs. Buccaneers Score Prop Predictions

For my last bet on the Sunday Night Football (SNF) game, I’m betting on the Saints to win a close game by only 1-6 points. I expect this game to be very close and we’re getting over 4/1 odds.

I’ll only be betting a ½ unit on this bet, along with one unit on my Saints ML bet.

The Saints’ last four wins have come by 6, 3, 3 and 3 points, so they’ve all within the scoring margin of 1-6 points and I like that trend to continue with a divisional game against the Bucs.

New Orleans seem to struggle when they travel to play the AFC, but they always perform well within the division and NFC. The Saints are 2-0 in NFC South games and 4-1 in NFC games.

This is going to be a great game, make sure you tune in and make some money.

Keep in mind, if for some reason Brees is unable to suit up then I wouldn’t recommend betting on the Saints ML or margin of victory prop, as Taysom Hill won’t be able to get it done.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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