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Rockets vs. Mavericks money line picks: NBA playoffs game 3

Gamble on the Rockets vs. Mavericks Game 3

Houston Rockets (2-0) vs. Dallas Mavericks (0-2) – Round 1 – Game 3

Tip-Off: Friday, April 24th 2015 at 7:05pm ET
Venue: American Airlines Center

HOUSTON won both home games to open the series and I haven’t given them enough credit in the West.

The Rockets have dominated the veteran Mavericks – something I didn’t see coming. However, the series is still young and the Mavs can get right back into the series with a win on Friday night at the American Airlines Center.

Dallas have to find a way to slow down the Rockets offense and pace of the game. The Mavericks offense has scored points – 108 in game 1 and 99 in game 2. However, they’ve allowed Houston to score 118 points in game 1 and 111 points in game 2.

Houston at Dallas money line odds

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Almost every bet up to this point has been on the Rockets to win game 3 of the series in Dallas. This is a monster game for the Mavs and the public hasn’t given them any respect. About 60% of bets have been placed on the over in the game total betting market.

Starting line-ups:

Houston Rockets:

Dallas Mavericks:

Chandler Parsons and Rajon Rondo are both out for the remainder of the playoffs it looks like. Harris is probable for game 3 – if he can’t suit up J.J Barea would likely get the start at PG. The Rondo experiment hasn’t worked, but losing him and Parsons hurts.

I thought the injuries to Patrick Beverley, Donatas Motiejunas and K.J. McDaniels would crush the Rockets playoffs hopes, but that hasn’t been the case at all. Jones is listed on the injury report, but he’s expected to be fine for the upcoming match-up.

Rockets vs. Mavericks betting preview

The Rockets won the first game because of 3-point shooting (10 of 25) and FT shooting (32 of 45).

Dallas still sent the Rockets to the charity stripe too many times in game 2 (27 of 35), but they did better at defending the perimeter (6 of 20). However, the biggest problem in the second game was the Rockets were able to score 60 points in the paint.

Houston shot 44.3% (39 of 88) from the field, while the Mavericks shot 37.1% (33 of 89) from the field.

Howard had a double-double and led all scorers (28 points and 12 rebounds). Howard was dominant in the paint and Chandler had a poor game. Chandler only had 11 points and 8 rebounds in 30 minutes – the rebounding numbers have to improve.

The Rockets bench has been great too in the series. They scored 36 points in game 1 and 47 points in game 2. Josh Smith and Corey Brewer both have scored double-digits in both games. The Mavs just don’t have the type of depth the Rockets have at their disposal.

All of the Mavs starters struggled from the field last game, but I expect that to change in Dallas. Nowitzki was 3 of 14, Chandler was 2 of 6 and Ellis was 8 of 23 from the field. If these three players don’t pick it up, the Mavericks will be swept in four games.

Rockets vs. Mavericks game 3 predictions

Initially, before the series started, I predicted the Mavs to win in 7 games. Well, after losing Parsons and Rondo, I’m convinced the Rockets will end this series quickly. Dallas doesn’t have the depth to deal with multiple injuries to starters.

Houston have already beat the Mavs in Dallas once this season, plus the Mavs were only 27-14 at home.

The Rockets went 26-15 on the road during the regular season and are unlikely to fall apart. Houston are focused this postseason and appear ready to contend for the Western Conference championship.

Whether it’s getting to the FT line, nailing 3-pointers or dominating the paint – the Rockets have done just about everything already in two games. Dallas are reeling out of control due to the injuries and this veteran team is clearly missing a piece or two.

I’m not interested in the over/under in game 3. The total is high and I often avoid big totals.

These two teams are scoring at will basically and I wouldn’t bet the under unless the total was up around 220 points. However, I’m not betting on the over either. At 214.5 points, a lot has to go right for the game to go over the total.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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