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Patriots vs. Rams Over/Under Predictions Week 14

New England Patriots(6-6) @ Los Angeles Rams(8-4)

  • Where: SoFi Stadium. Inglewood, CA
  • When: December 10, 2020 8:20 pm EST
  • Spread: Patriots +6 (-110) vs. Rams -6 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Patriots (+225) vs. Rams (-275)
  • Over / Under: Over 44.5 Points (-110) vs. Under 44.5 Points (-110)

NE vs. LAR Week 14 Betting PreviewThe New England Patriots are coming off a dominating win against the Chargers (45-0).

The Patriots are now at .500 (6-6 / 6-6 ATS) and third place in the AFC East. NE could theoretically make the expanded NFL playoffs still, but they’ll need a lot of things to go right.

They play the Los Angeles Rams (8-4 / 7-5 ATS) who lead the NFC West. The Rams are coming off a big division win against the Cardinals (38-28) and they’ve won three of their last four games.

This Thursday Night Football (TNF) showdown will be a fun one to watch.

NE Patriots at LA Rams Betting Lines

Despite the Patriots looking better the last two games, the Rams opened up as -6.5 favorites at home. The line has been bet down a bit and the Rams are -6 favorites at Bovada.

The game total has dropped a full point from 45.5 to 44.5. The early action on the under makes sense, as both teams have an over/under record of 4-8 this season.

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Analyzing the Stats

Here’s how these two teams match-up against each other.

The Rams are better in nearly every category on offense and defense.

NE have been relying on running the football and have had mixed results. The key to defeating the Patriots is to get up early and force Cam Newton to throw the football.

If it wasn’t for Newton having success pounding the rock, he’d be on the bench by now.

It’s not all Newton’s fault, though. He has limited weapons in the pass game. Julian Edelman has been out since October and the Patriots leading WR is Damiere Byrd (518 receiving yards).

The Rams are getting it done through the air and on the ground, making them tough to stop.

Jared Goff has thrown for 3372 yards, 17 TDs and 10 INTs. Cooper Kupp leads the team in receiving yards (836), but Robert Woods (764) has a chance to hit the 1000+ yard milestone.

Patriots vs. Rams Game Total Pick for Week 14 TNF

I’m betting on the over in this game on primetime.

Newton is likely going to rush for a couple TDs. He has 11 rushing TDs this season, which is more than double the number of TD passes he has thrown (5). That ratio won’t win you Super Bowls.

However, I expect the Patriots to score three TDs on Thursday. The Rams defense has been a top 10 unit all season, but they’ve been slowing down a bit the last several weeks.

The Rams offense will have success against this Patriots defense. The Pats defense hasn’t given up a lot of points, but they give up yards and stopping this offense once it’s rolling is tough.

There are multiple players on the Rams that can beat the defense every single down.

I also expect the public to be betting on the under in this one. With the over/under record of both teams and the Pats coming off a shutout, that’ll likely sway some NFL bettors.

Patriots vs. Rams First Half Over/Under Pick

Bovada have lots of betting markets for every NFL game.

One of them is betting on first half totals. Instead of just releasing one line, which in the case of this game is O/U 22.5 points, you can move the total a couple points in either direction.

We’re getting over 24.0 points at a nice plus money payout of +135 ($100 Bet = $135 Profit).

I expect the Rams to jump out to a lead at home. They don’t want the Patriots to be able to run the clock the entire night running the football, so to prevent that, they need the lead.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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