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Packers vs. Seahawks Point Spread Betting

Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks – NFL Week 1 TNF

When: Thursday, September 4th 2014 at 8:30pm ET
Where: CenturyLink Field in Seattle, Washington
Watch: Live on NBC

To start the regular season on Thursday Night Football, the Seattle Seahawks host the Green Bay Packers. CenturyLink Field will be buzzing and the atmosphere will be incredible. Will a healthy Aaron Rodgers be able to solve the Legion of Boom?

Last season the Seahawks (13-3) won the NFC West and went on to dominate the Broncos in the Super Bowl. Green Bay (8-7-1) won the weak NFC North despite multiple injuries to star players, but they lost to the 49ers in the wild card round of the playoffs.

Latest Seahawks vs. Packers Betting Lines

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Seattle opened up at –5 to –6 depending upon where you look and the line hasn’t moved yet at all. I don’t expect much movement, as action has been spread out very evenly. The over/under opened at 45 points and most shops have moved up a ½ point.

Why Seattle Will Cover the Spread?

Pete Carroll wasn’t active in the free agency market, but he did a good job keeping the core of the team together. Golden Tate left to get paid more. The defense had more turnover, as Red Bryant, Chris Clemons, Brandon Browner and Walter Thurmond are gone.

Percy Harvin and Paul Richardson will make up for the loss of Tate and provide Russell Wilson with weapons in the pass game. This is an offense that’s still going to pound the rock though. Marshawn Lynch will be the workhorse, but I expect his load to decrease a bit.

Seattle will cover the spread if they can shutdown Rodgers. Last season the Seahawks allowed 172.0 PYPG (1st) and 14.4 PPG (1st). It won’t be easy stopping the Packers pass offense, as Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb are both healthy heading into week 1.

Lynch will play a big role in this match-up as well. Green Bay allowed 125.0 RYPG (25th) last season. Julius Peppers will help improve the run defense, but he alone won’t be enough to slow down the Seahawks 4th ranked run offense (136.8 RYPG) from last year.

Why Green Bay Will Cover the Spread?

The Packers drafted Ha Ha Clinton-Dix in the 1st round and he’ll be an automatic upgrade in the secondary. Green Bay allowed 247.3 PYPG (24th), but I expect that number to improve. The problem is going to be the run defense, especially after losing B.J. Raji.

GB has lost James Jones who finished 2nd in most receiving categories on the team last year, but that just means players like Cobb, Jarrett Boykin and Andrew Quarless will receive more targets. The Packers have WR’s that can stretch the field and a big TE.

If Green Bay is to cover the point spread they’ll need Eddie Lacy to rush for 100+ yards. As a rookie last year, Lacy had 284 carries for 1178 yards (11 TD’s) plus he caught 35 passes for 257 yards. That was all without Rodgers for a lot of the season.

Seattle doesn’t have a weakness on defense, but last year they did give up 101.6 RYPG (7th). Seattle still has a strong d-line, but they lack depth due to losses during the off-season and the Packers will quickly test their stamina by pounding the football with Lacy.

Packers vs. Seahawks Week 1 Predictions

Emotions are going to be high in this primetime game to kick-off the 2014 NFL regular season. Seahawk fans will make it as tough as possible for Rodgers and the offense to operate. I don’t expect Seattle to have a Super Bowl hangover at home.

Green Bay’s run defense is going to be weak again and Carroll will game plan around this. Lynch will see steady work in the trenches to eat away at the clock and keep the Packers potent offense on the sidelines where they can’t score points.

Harvin looked great in the Super Bowl last year and if he’s finally healthy that adds a scary element to this team. GB is going to have to stack the box to stop Lynch and that’ll open up the play action where Wilson excels through the air or on his feet.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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