Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants
When: 8:30pm EST. Sunday, November 25, 2012
Where: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey
In a matchup between two first-place teams, the Green Bay Packers 7-3 (5-5 ATS) play the New York Giants 6-4 (4-6 ATS) on Sunday night at MetLife Stadium. The Packers will get a chance for revenge after the Giants beat them 37-20 at Lambeau in last year’s playoffs.
Green Bay vs. NYG Betting Lines
The Giants opened as -1.5 point favorites and they’re now favored by 3 (Sunday morning at 12:30am EST). I’m taking the Packers +3 (-120) at BetOnline.com. After last year’s playoffs, GB will want some revenge on the Giants, and I think there’s value on the Packers money line of +130 as well.
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Packers vs. NY Giants Betting Preview
The NY Giants are on a 2-game losing streak with losses to the Steelers (24-20) and Bengals (31-13). Meanwhile, Green Bay is on a 5-game winning streak, although they’ve have just been scraping by the last few weeks, and haven’t looked good in the process.
Green Bay hasn’t looked that good statistically either, as their offense ranks 12th in passing (246.3 PYPG) and 24th in rushing (99.2 RYPG). I like that the Packers average 26.3 PPG (10th) and they also rank amongst the best in INT’s (12 – 7th).
Defensively the Packers give up plenty of yardage, as they allow 244.4 PYPG (21st) and 99.5 RYPG (10th). You’d think they give up a lot of points as well, but due to turnovers they’ve been able to limit opponents to 20.7 PPG on average (10th).
The Giants defense has been allowing an average of 21.6 PPG (12th), 257.8 PYPG (25th) and 113.8 RYPG (15th). Both of these offenses should be able to put up big numbers, and this game is going to be close.
Apart from the turnover edge, the Packers also have a big edge in sacks. If they put pressure on Eli Manning they’ll have a great shot at winning this game SU. GB has 33 sacks on the season (2nd) compared to the Giants 25 sacks (13th).
The Giants have also struggled with a 1-4 ATS mark at home. The Packers are just 3-2 ATS on the road, but they have a bitter taste in their mouths from last season and that should give them the motivation to pick up this road game on Sunday.
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants Best Bet
• Bet on Green Bay Packers Money Line +130 @ BetOnline
Greg Jennings could see some snaps this weekend and just having him in the line-up will be a plus. Bradshaw is still banged up, and the Giants will be splitting carries all day. If the Packers can put pressure on Eli they’ll force TO’s, and I would expect them to win.
GB vs. NYG Over/Under
I like the over in this game, but it’s a little too high (O/U 50.5 points) for me to bet on it. If it drops below 50 points I’ll make a bet here, but otherwise I’ll stay away. Like everyone else, I expect a high scoring game. However, at 50.5 on the Packers vs. Giants over/under, we might be asking too much of them.