NFL Week 6: Eagles Favored ATS on Road Against Redskins
by Scott —October 13, 2016 in All Sports, NFL
When: Sunday, October 16th 2016 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: FedEx Field in Hyattsville, Maryland
Watch: FOX
The Philadelphia Eagles (3-1) lost their first game of the season last week against the Lions (24-23). It was a tough loss, as the Eagles were coming off a bye week. They’ll need to regroup quickly, as they play the Washington Redskins (3-2) in an NFC East showdown. Both teams are chasing the Cowboys in the division standings.
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Eagles at Redskins money line, point spread and over/under odds
- Money Line: Philadelphia Eagles (-135) vs. Washington Redskins (+115)
- Point Spread: Philadelphia Eagles –2.5 (-110) vs. Washington Redskins +2.5 (-110)
- Game Total: Over 44.5 Points (-110) vs. Under 44.5 Points (-110)
The action is relatively split on this game. Those siding with the Eagles are hitting the point spread, while those taking a shot on the underdog are betting on the money line.
Almost all game total bets have been on the over at the time of publishing.
PHI vs. WAS match-up analysis
- Points Scored: Eagles 28.8 PPG (3rd) vs. Redskins 23.0 PPG (16th)
- Passing Yards (OFF): Eagles 245.2 PYPG (20th) vs. Redskins 279.6 PYPG (7th)
- Rushing Yards (OFF): Eagles 118.5 RYPG (10th) vs. Redskins 86.4 RYPG (25th)
- Points Allowed: Eagles 12.8 PPG (2nd) vs. Redskins 24.4 PPG (19th)
- Passing Yards (DEF): Eagles 193.5 PYPG (6th) vs. Redskins 262.0 PYPG (21st)
- Rushing Yards (DEF): Eagles 73.2 RYPG (3rd) vs. Redskins 130.0 RYPG (30th)
- Turnover Margin: Eagles +1.2 TOPG (4th) vs. Redskins +0.4 TOPG (9th)
Carson Wentz is leading the Eagles offense and putting up great numbers for a rookie QB. The rushing game has been solid as well, taking some pressure off of Wentz. The Eagles also have one of the best defenses in the NFL. Washington aren’t great on paper, but they’ve won three consecutive games against the Giants, Browns and Ravens.
Injury news
The Eagles will be healthy with no one expected to miss the game. Fletcher Cox, Leodis McKelvin and Bryan Braman DNP at practice on Wednesday, but all three are expected to be fine for Sunday.
Washington are relatively healthy, but Jordan Reed may have a concussion according to a Wednesday report, as he missed practice unexpectedly. Keep an eye on Reed, as his loss would be a big blow.
Eagles vs. Redskins week 5 predictions
If Reed doesn’t suit up, the Eagles become one of my best bets, but even if Reed plays, he won’t be 100% and that’ll hurt the Redskins passing offense, which is the one area they’ve done well in. Reed leads the Redskins in receptions (33) and receiving yards (316), but DeSean Jackson, Pierre Garcon and Jamison Crowder can pick up the slack.
Kirk Cousins has only thrown for 7 TDs compared to 5 INTs, which isn’t great. The rushing game has been good when given the chance, as Matt Jones (4.1) and Chris Thompson (4.9) are both averaging over 4.0 yards per carry. However, the Eagles are great against the run and have only allowed two rushing touchdowns, which is 4th best in the NFL.
Wentz has been great for Philly offensively. He isn’t throwing for 300+ yards per game, but he has 7 passing TDs and only 1 INT. His QB rating is 103.5 and he’s averaging 7.5 yards per passing attempt. Jordan Matthews leads Philly in receptions (19), receiving yards (269) and receiving touchdowns (2).
It has helped that the Eagles run game has started to pick up. Ryan Matthews is finding his footing as the lead RB and the Eagles also have mixed in Darren Sproles, Wendell Smallwood and Kenjon Barner. The Redskins are tied for last in rushing touchdowns allowed (8), so look for the Eagles to run all over Washington and pick up the road win.
While not one of my best bets of the week, I lean towards this game going over 44.5 points. When these two teams meet head-to-head both offenses typically explode. Three of the last four and five of the last seven H2H games have gone over at the bookies and all of those totals were higher than 44.5 points.
Three of the last four H2H match-ups have seen more than 50+ points scored. The Eagles will have no problem putting up points on the ground against the Redskins brutal front seven. That’ll force the Redskins into throwing the football once they’re down and we should be in for a back-and-forth shootout.