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NFL Week 2 Betting: Bengals Favored Over Falcons at Home

Atlanta Falcons vs. Cincinnati Bengals Preview – 2014 NFL Week 2

When: Sunday, September 14th 2014 at 1:00pm ET
Where: Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio
Watch: Live on CBS

The Cincinnati Bengals 1-0 (1-0 ATS) went on the road and beat the Ravens (23-16). The Atlanta Falcons 1-0 (1-0 ATS) won a thriller in OT at home over the Saints (37-34). Atlanta now heads on the road to play in the unfriendly confines of Paul Brown Stadium.

Falcons vs. Bengals Point Spread & Over/Under Lines

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There has been money coming in on the Falcons early in the week and 80% of early action is on them ATS. Almost every bet on the O/U in this match-up has been on the over, which doesn’t surprise me despite this being one of the highest totals of the week.

ATL @ CIN Point Spread Prediction

Matt Ryan set a franchise record in week 1 with 448 passing yards. He threw 3 TD’s in an OT win over the Saints (37-34) at home. I’m not expecting another record performance from Ryan, but he’ll have success passing on the Bengals with all of his weapons.

Julio Jones, Roddy White and Devin Hester combined for 17 receptions for 287 yards and 1 TD. Atlanta rushed the football 25 times against the Saints and gained 123 yards on the ground. If they can balance the offense this year they’ll be tough to beat.

Cincinnati went on the road and beat Baltimore (23-16) in week 1. The Bengals offense didn’t have much trouble moving the football in the 1H, but they settled for 5 FG’s. Scoring FG’s against the Falcons won’t cut it, but the ATL defense isn’t as good as the Ravens.

Atlanta allowed 472 total yards and 34 points against the Saints. A.J. Green led the way with 6 receptions for 131 yards and 1 TD, but the Bengals WR unit is banged up right now and other than Green the best receiver was Giovani Bernard who had 6 catches as well.

The Bengals were a bit fortunate to win the turnover battle 2-0 last week, as their defense allowed 420 yards to a Baltimore offense that has no running game and a pass offense that isn’t nearly as strong as Atlanta’s. That has to be concerning for Cincy fans.

I feel like we’re getting too many points in this game. Sure, the Falcons went 1-7 on the road last season, but they were injured and had a terrible season. If you look back to 2012 when the Falcons were healthy they went 6-2 SU on the road.

After the comeback win last week the Falcons will have momentum heading into this tilt against the Bengals. Atlanta has to double up on Green, but other than that only Bernard is likely to hurt them, as WR2 Marvin Jones is still dealing with a foot injury.

ATL @ CIN Over/Under Prediction

I’m also betting on the over 48 points in this match-up. The total is high, but after watching Ryan last week I expect him to come out slinging again. The Bengals allowed an inaccurate Flacco to throw for 345 yards, so Ryan will likely exceed that total.

Andy Dalton and the Bengals settled for too many FG’s last week, but that won’t be the case at home against the Falcons defense. I see this game playing out like many of Atlanta’s games and that’s a shootout with both teams alternating TD’s for four quarters.

The over has gone 5-1 in the Bengals last six games at home plus the over is 4-1 in the Bengals last five games against a team with a winning record. If you want to bet on the over in this game bet on it now, as this line could increase another point or two by Sunday.

These two teams don’t play often, so there are no recent H2H trends to look at. At the end of the day we have two teams that love to pass the football, have an elite WR and defenses that struggled against the pass in week 1. I’ll bite on the over at 48 (-110).

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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