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NFL Week 12: Packers at 49ers Money Line Pick and Odds

Green Bay Packers(8-2) @ San Francisco 49ers(9-1)

  • Where: Levi's Stadium. Santa Clara, CA
  • When: November 24, 2019 8:00 pm EST
  • Spread: Packers +3 (-105) vs. 49ers -3 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Packers (+135) vs. 49ers (-155)
  • Over / Under: Over 48 (-110) vs. Under 48 (-110)

On Sunday night, the San Francisco 49ers (5-4-1 ATS) host the Green Bay Packers (7-3 ATS). This is a game a lot of us have been waiting for, as the Niners get another chance to claim a quality win.

You can’t fault the Niners for having an easy schedule, but you can question whether or not they’re real contenders. The 49ers have one solid win on their resume against LAR (20-7) in week 6, but the next chance they had was against Seattle and they lost in OT (27-24) in week 10.

Apart from a complete collapse in week 9 against LAC (26-11), GB have had a great season. The team has several quality wins against Minnesota (21-16), Dallas (34-24) and Kansas City (31-24).

GB vs. SF Week 12 Betting Lines Movement

SF opened up as -3.5 point favorites, but they’re now a FG favorite at Bovada (Get a $250 Bonus).

The action on the point spread has been almost split down the middle. The bookies are essentially saying these two teams are even and the Niners are -3 point favorites since they’re at home.

We’ve seen movement on the total as well. The game total opened up at 44 points, which seemed low and since opening the over/under has been bet up to 48 points at the Bovada Sportsbook.

Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers Game Preview and Stats

The 49ers have the edge on both sides of the football when looking at the stats.

GB have the edge at QB. Aaron Rodgers is having a good season considering his lack of weapons in the passing game. He has thrown 17 TD passes compared to just 2 INTs. Rodgers will need to remain accurate this week, as the 49ers have forced 22 turnovers (11 INTs / 11 Fumbles) this season.

Packers vs. 49ers Picks 2019Aaron Jones (589 rushing yards and 11 rushing TDs) is having a career year, but the 49ers have the edge in the run game. Matt Breida, Tevin Coleman and Raheem Mostert have combined for 1299 rushing yards and 7 rushing TDs despite injuries. The Niners are loaded at RB.

Breida hasn’t practiced this week after missing week 11 and he could be out again. The 49ers only gained 34 rushing yards on 19 carries last week without Breida and they need him back.

Emmanuel Sanders, George Kittle and Deebo Samuel are also banged up. All three skill players are game time decisions. If even two of these three can’t go, the Niners offense is going to struggle.

On the Packers, only Davante Adams is questionable, but he’ll be fine. The Packers are coming off a bye week and while he may not be 100%, he’ll play. If Adams does play, he needs to start producing, as he has failed to score a TD this season after scoring 10+ TDs in each of the past three seasons.

Packers at 49ers Predictions for Week 12

The 49ers offense is dealing with a lot of injuries and the value is with GB. Sure, they’re on the road, but the Seahawks were able to win in SF and the Packers have shown me more this season.

Jimmy Garoppolo isn’t playing poorly, but he hasn’t been great. He has 18 TDs compared to 10 INTs, but he’s going to struggle this week if Kittle and Sanders are unable to suit up.

We also seen the unstoppable 49ers run game shutdown last week without Breida. Jones has been on a mission this season and I expect him to outrun the entire 49ers offense.

I’m surprised the total has shot up so much this week. Both teams have been putting up points this season, but the injuries on the 49ers offense are concerning. As long as GB avoid turnovers like they have all season, then I don’t see how the 49ers are going to score many points.

I also expect the Packers to score below their season average. Rodgers is among the best QBs in the league, but the Niners secondary is fierce and have been shutting down QBs all season. He’ll have some success through the air, but I don’t expect GB to score more than 24 points.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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