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New Orleans Bowl Betting Lines

What: East Carolina (8-4, 6-6 ATS) vs. University of Louisiana Lafayette (8-4, 7-5 ATS)
When: 12:00pm ET. December 22, 2012
Where: Superdome, New Orleans, LA

US Friendly
US Friendly
East Carolina
Louisiana Lafayette
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
o65 (-110) / u65 (-110)
o65 (-110) / u65 (-110)

CFB bowl bettors have to love this matchup between the University of Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns and East Carolina Pirates just 150 miles from ULL’s home turf.

ULL is playing for their second straight 9-win season and will be looking to put on a show for the locals. The Pirates are also looking for their 9th win of the season. Besides putting another win on the season, East Carolina is hoping to break a losing streak in bowl games that stretches back to 2008.

On paper, these teams match up very closely, so any edge a bettor can find is straight value. Here’s my take on the New Orleans Bowl point spread, moneyline and over/under betting lines.

East Carolina Betting Lines and Analysis

Best East Carolina Point Spread: +5.5 (-115) at BetOnline.com

Best East Carolina Moneyline: +180 at BetOnline.com

The Pirates main advantage coming into the New Orleans Bowl is their strong passing game spearheaded by sophomore QB Shane Carden (248/371, 2838 yards, 21 TDs, 9 INTs), and sophomore WR Justin Hardy (83 catches, 1046 yards, 10 TDs). These two helped lead East Carolina to an impressive 272 passing yards per game.

Bear in mind that ULL’s pass defense is very thin. This season opponents have been throwing 283 yards per game on Ragin Cajuns. If ULL gives Carden and Hardy a chance to connect, that -5.5 line could be right on the money. The Pirates are in a tough position for the straight up win. They’ll be fighting ULL’s season-long momentum, as well as their own past bowl performances.

Unless their traveling contingent is pretty huge, the Pirates are at a real disadvantage in the fan department. ULL might as well be playing at home, and too many Ragin Cajuns in the Superdome means that ULL should be able to cover the point spread.

Louisiana Lafayette Betting Lines and Analysis

Best Louisiana Lafayette Spread: -4.5 (-110) at JustBet.cx

Best Louisiana Lafayette Moneyline: -200 at JustBet.cx

ULL’s Terrance Broadway not only has one of the best QB names of all time, TB throws the ball pretty well, too. After coming off the bench to replace the injured Blaine Gautier early in the season he’s done nothing but impress. He’s passed for over 2,500 yards and run for another 661. Broadway is a big part of this versatile offense that could keep the Pirate D on their toes all afternoon.

As I’ve noted, ULL’s biggest weakness is a pass defense that just can’t seem to get things going. Just three weeks ago, they allowed Southern Alabama to pass for more than 360 yards, even though the 2-10 Jaguars lost the game 52-30.

2012 New Orleans Bowl Free Betting Picks

Bowl games can be wildly unpredictable but ULL seems to have a slight edge thanks to that home field advantage and momentum. However, discounting that strong EC passing game would be a mistake. Games like this make for exciting wagering, but definitely require some homework.

New Orleans Bowl Point Spread Pick

5.5 may not sound like a big number, but with ATS wins in four of their last five, ULL could easily cover that. Though East Carolina’s last stint as an underdog turned into an upset victory over Houston, I think that the Ragin Cajuns are going to dominate this one by well over 5.5 points.

New Orleans Bowl Moneyline Pick

Teams play better when they’ve got an enthusiastic fan base and a 150 mile drive for a Saturday bowl game in the Big Easy should be an easy sell. ULL is on the rise and I think that this game is theirs to lose.

At -200 on the moneyline at JustBet, bettors seem to be very confident about ULL’s chances – and I don’t see any reason to argue with them. Look for ULL to see their second straight New Orleans Bowl win.

N.O. Bowl Over/Under Pick

I’ve already talked about ULL’s defensive weakness and both teams’ offensive prowess, so there’s every chance this could be a high scoring affair. With ULL averaging 34 points a game and EC clocking in 31, we have a bit of an edge on the over. Beware though, if either of these defenses can step it up, the over/under of 65 might be a challenge. I’m taking the over, but it’s not an official recommendation.

This article was written by Jess

Jess is the editor of MobileSportsBetting.com. His job duties include everything nobody else is doing, and making sure it all gets done on time. When he gets a chance, Jess loves to write about NFL, MLB, Formula 1, and tennis betting.

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