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NBA: Cavaliers vs. Hawks over/under betting

Gamble on the Cavaliers vs. Hawks - March 6th 2015Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Atlanta Hawks Preview

When: Friday, March 6th 2015 at 7:30pm ET
Where: Philips Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
Watch: FSOH & SPSO

THERE’S a large slate of NBA games on Friday – none better than the Cleveland Cavaliers 39-24 (32-32 ATS) vs. Atlanta Hawks 48-12 (39-21 ATS).

Both teams are playing great basketball. The Cavaliers and Hawks are 7-3 in their last ten games. Cleveland are on a two-game win streak, while Atlanta have won five games in a row.

Atlanta have only lost four games at home (28-4) all season. On the other side of the coin – the Cavs have been bad on the road all season (16-15). They beat the Raptors (120-112) on Wednesday night, which snapped a two-game road losing streak.

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Betting odds for CLE at ATL

UPDATE:Cleveland have actually opened up as the point spread favorites, but like I said – I was waiting for the over/under. It opened up quite a bit lower than I thought, so I’ve locked in the over 200.5 points.

There isn’t much separating these teams and the point spread is going to be within 4-5 points – with Atlanta being favored. This is a game that could go either way and it’s tough betting against Lebron James and the Cavs right now.

I’m interested in where the total opens up, as my projections have this game pegged for a ton of points.

Atlanta and Cleveland have played each other three times this season and the Hawks are 2-1 (2-1 ATS). The over is 3-0 in the three H2H meetings. These teams have combined to score 231 points, 225 points and 210 points in those match-ups.

As long as the over/under opens up at 210 points or lower I’ll definitely have action on the over.

How the Hawks match-up against the Cavaliers

These teams are similar. Both rank in the top ten in the NBA in scoring, while struggling on the glass. Atlanta moves the basketball around extremely well and play better team defense than the Cavaliers.

Cleveland ranks 24th in pace (95.0 possessions per game) and Atlanta ranks 15th in pace (96.2 possessions per game). Neither team likes to push the pace, but when they’ve played against each other this season that statistic hasn’t held true.

They may not average a lot of possessions per game, but these teams are among the most efficient teams in the NBA. Cleveland ranks 5th in offensive efficiency (107.2) and the Hawks rank 6th in offensive efficiency (106.3).

Lebron James is the heartbeat of this Cavs team and they’ll go as far as he takes them. James is averaging 33.5 PPG in his last four games (26.2 PPG on the season) and he’s coming off a double-double against Toronto (29 points, 14 assists and 6 rebounds).

James played great when the Cavs beat the Hawks back in November, but he had a mediocre game the next time out and missed the third H2H game in December. DeMarre Carroll is one of the better defenders at SF and he’ll be on James all night.

The two match-ups that’ll play the biggest role in this game are Jeff Teague vs. Kyrie Irving and Paul Millsap vs. Kevin Love. Millsap leads the Hawks with 16.9 PPG, 8.0 RPG and 1.71 SPG. Love averages 16.9 PPG, 10.2 RPG and 2.4 APG.

Millsap has the edge over Love on defense and it’ll be a pivotal match-up. I expect a lot of the scoring to come from the guards, as Teague (16.8 PPG) and Irving (21.6 PPG) can both takeover a game and neither plays much defense.

J.R. Smith (12.4 PPG) and Kyle Korver (12.4 PPG) are also capable of getting hot from beyond the arc and like the PG’s – neither SG plays defense. For this game to head over the total Al Horford needs to produce on the offensive end of the court as well.

Horford is good for about 15 points and 7-8 rebounds when he’s on his game, but he can disappear some nights. Timofey Mozgov is a big body in the paint and can block shots, but he isn’t the best defender because he lacks speed and athleticism.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Atlanta Hawks best bet

There’s no reason not to expect points when the Cavs play the Hawks on Friday night. Both teams come into the game healthy, as the only players not expected to play are Shawn Marion (CLE) and Thabo Sefolosha (ATL).

James is playing some of his best basketball of the season and the Cavaliers as a whole are playing as a cohesive unit. Both teams want to prove their dominance in the Eastern conference and I expect a high-scoring showdown.

As long as the over/under line doesn’t open too high I’ll be jumping on that once the market opens.

NBA starting line-ups

Cleveland Cavaliers:

Atlanta Hawks:

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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