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Mavericks vs. Thunder betting lines – NBA on TNT

Mavericks-vs-Thunder-February-19th-2015Start: Thursday, February 19th 2015 at 8:00pm ET
Location: Chesapeake Energy Arena

WILL the Oklahoma City Thunder 28-25 (24-28-1 ATS) be able to extend their 3-game winning streak against the Dallas Mavericks 36-19 (25-27-3 ATS) this Thursday on TNT?

Dallas are 6-4 in their last 10 games including a big win over Utah (87-82) before the break. The break helped the team get healthy because Rajon Rando is expected to start and Tyson Chandler is probable.

Steven Adams is the only player injured on the Thunder. OKC are 1½ games back of the Suns for the final playoff spot in the West and they need to make up that ground as quickly as possible.

Oklahoma City doesn’t want to enter the playoffs as the 8th seed because they’d likely have to play the Warriors in the first round. That isn’t a match-up the Thunder will want.

Mavericks vs. Thunder point spread & over/under

Oklahoma City have been bad on the road (12-17), but they’re better at home (16-8). Once the odds open I expect the Thunder to be favored although not by much. I’m more interested in the over/under. If the line opens below 210 points I’ll bet the over.

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Stats breakdown

These two teams like to shoot the basketball a lot and play at a fast pace, but the similarities end there.

Game preview

Russell Westbrook came off the bench for the West in the All-Star Game, but in the end he won the MVP award. Westbrook finished with 41 points, 5 rebounds, 1 assist and 3 steals in 26 minutes. His counterpart – Kevin Durant — was a non-factor in the ASG.

The two superstars are averaging over 25.0 PPG, 6.0 RPG and 4.0 APG. These teams have played each other once this season and the Thunder lost (112-107) on the road without Durant. With OKC at home and Durant in the line-up – the expectation is they’ll win.

In the first match-up Westbrook shot 6-23 from the field and ended the game with 18 points. Serge Ibaka scored 26 points (11-14) and hauled in 10 rebounds. If the Thunder get that type of production from Ibaka again this game could be a blowout.

Ibaka is rarely in the spotlight, but he has averaged 13.8 PPG, 7.5 RPG and 2.26 BPG. Dion Waiters is the epitome of inconsistency although he’s capable of scoring 20+ points any night, especially against a team that doesn’t play any defense.

In the first H2H meeting this season Dirk Nowitzki (30 points) and Chandler Parsons (26 points) led the way for Dallas. Nowitzki is the veteran leader on this team still and despite his numbers being down he ranks 2nd on the Mavs in scoring (18.3 PPG).

Monta Ellis leads Dallas in scoring (19.8 PPG). The Mavericks have a lot of scoring depth though; as four players are averaging over 10.0 PPG and nine players are averaging over 7.0 PPG. This is one of the deepest teams in the NBA, but they’re missing a superstar.

Nowitzki, Ellis, Parson, Chandler and Rondo are all good players in their own right, but none of them are bona fide superstars and that could hurt Dallas come playoff time. This is also the year they need to make a push, as the veterans aren’t getting younger.

Mavericks vs. Thunder picks

UPDATE: The betting lines were just released for this match-up and the total is 212 points. Even though it’s a couple points higher than I expected I’ll still be jumping on the total. OKC opened up right where I expected and I’ve bet them now as well.

I’m definitely going to bet on the over. I can’t imagine it’ll open up higher than 210 points. Both of these teams have shooters that are willing to pull up from anywhere on the court with zero regard for the shot clock, so there will be a ton of points scored.

Depending upon where the point spread opens I’ll also have some action on OKC to cover at home. Westbrook will dominate at PG. Rondo will be rusty after a lengthy injury and J.J. Barea won’t stand any chance when he’s matched up against Russ.

Durant will be the x-factor. He missed the first game against Dallas, but with him in the line-up that’ll put the Thunder over the edge at home. Parsons doesn’t play defense and I believe he’ll struggle, as he has never played well when Rondo is playing.

Ibaka has to do a better job covering Nowitzki this time around. The two positions where the Mavs have an edge are center and shooting guard. Ellis is the one player that the Thunder have to make sure they double up on when he enters the lane.

Chandler is going to crush whomever the Thunder start at center. This is the type of game where Chandler posts 20 points and 20 rebounds. He could do that and the Thunder will still win though, as the Mavs don’t have an answer for Durant and Westbrook.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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