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Manchester City v Chelsea Betting Tips

Manchester City v Chelsea – EPL Round 27
Kick-Off: 1:30pm GMT. Sunday, February 24th 2013
Venue: Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England

Chelsea travels to the Etihad Stadium to play Manchester City in the best round 27 match. These two squads met in November and played to a nil-nil draw at Stamford Bridge. That was the 1st match for Chelsea’s new manager Benitez.

Since the 1st match against Man City, Chelsea has gone 7-3-3 in league play with Benitez leading the squad. Chelsea is currently 3rd on the table with 49 points and they’re just 4 points behind Manchester City who still have a hold of 2nd place in the league.

Latest Manchester City v Chelsea 1X2 Odds

Man City is an odds-on favourite to win this week with Chelsea listed as a huge underdog. You can also bet on the draw, which I think is priced high based on how close these two squads play each other.

Bet365.com: No USA
Man City 1.95
Draw 3.60
Chelsea 4.33
PaddyPower.com: No USA
Man City 1.95
Draw 3.60
Chelsea 3.80
Coral.co.uk: No USA
Man City 1.91
Draw 3.60
Chelsea 3.75
Bovada.lv: USA Only
Man City -110
Draw +260
Chelsea +300

* Due to constantly changing odds, the odds in the table above may be different from what is quoted in this article.

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Chelsea v Man City Match Analysis

The Blues have been on a nice roll as of late in league play with a 6-2-2 record in their L10. During that span Chelsea has scored an average of 2.7 GPG while allowing 1.1 GPG. Frank Lampard has been playing great and leads the team in scoring with 11 goals.

In away matches the Blues are 7-3-3 this season, but recent away form hasn’t been up to par. In Chelsea’s L2 away matches they have a 2-2 draw against Reading and a 3-2 loss against Newcastle. They’ll need to play much better to keep it close at the Etihad.

Manchester City is 9-3-1 at home this season with their lone loss against Manchester United (3-2). While their form at home looks great on paper if you look more closely they’ve struggled against better quality teams at the Etihad.

Man City has a 1-1 draw against Arsenal, 1-1 draw against Everton and a 2-2 draw against Liverpool. The home wins that they have are against weaker sides. I expect Chelsea to be able to hang in this match as long as they put out a strong starting XI.

Vincent Kompany is expected back in City’s starting XI this week and that will make scoring even tougher for Chelsea. Man City is only conceding 0.85 GPG at home while netting 2.23 GPG on average offensively in matches at the Etihad.

Edin Dzeko scored the lone goal in Man City’s last match, which was a horrendous 3-1 away loss to Southampton. Dzeko now is the leader on the squad with 12 goals, but at the Etihad Carlos Tevez (5) and Sergio Aguero (5) lead the team in goals.

In the L5 H2H league matches these teams are 2-1-2 with City posting a perfect 2-0 record at home. To earn an away win or draw this weekend Chelsea need to focus on their back line because if you can’t stop City’s offence you won’t keep up with them.

Manchester City v Chelsea Best Bets

I was thinking about betting the draw, but I feel safer betting Chelsea +0.5 in case they steal a win. As I mentioned before, City has had a tendency this season to struggle a bit against the top half squads in the league when playing at the Etihad.

Frank Lampard and Juan Mata both need to play well, as they lead the team in scoring. The Chelsea strikers have been quiet for a lot of this campaign and it isn’t going to be getting any easier against the best defensive squad in the league.

This bet stood out to me when I went through everything tonight. Both league matches last year finished with a score of 2-1 and while both teams played to a 0-0 draw earlier this year at Stamford Bridge I expect a couple goals to be scored.

Kompany is back for Man City, but the back line has been poor lately, as they’ve allowed 2.5 GPG in their L2. A 1-1 draw isn’t that unlikely, but I like having the extra goal cushion, which is why I decided to bet exactly 2-3 goals rather than the U2.5 goals (2.10).

Edin Dzeko is on a great run at the moment and he has scored 6 goals in the L7 league matches played by Man City. He has also popped in the 1st goal for his team in their L2 matches and getting him to repeat that at 4.50 odds is a bet I can’t pass up.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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