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Lions vs. Packers Week 10 Over/Under Predictions

Bet the Lions vs Packers in week 10Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers Preview

When: Sunday, November 15th at 1:00pm ET
Where: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin
Watch: FOX

I figured the Detroit Lions (1-7) would be bad, but not this bad. The Lions are coming off a bye, so that will help, but they don’t stand much of a chance against the Green Bay Packers (6-2).

Green Bay don’t allow too many points, but they give up a ton of yardage to opposing offenses.

The Packers come into this game on a 2-game losing streak (Broncos & Panthers), but they have to be happy to be back at Lambeau where they’re 4-0.

Let’s get into the betting markets for this NFC North match-up.

Lions at Packers betting lines

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Injury news

Detroit are banged up at RB and TE, but Joique Bell, Ameer Abdullah, Theo Riddick, Eric Ebron and Brandon Pettigrew are all probable to play. DeAndre Levy was recently put on the IR, while Darius Slay is questionable.

Calvin Johnson also sat out practice on Monday and is questionable this week.

The Packers have Sam Shields listed as week-to-week still. On offense, Ty Montgomery should be fine to go this week, but Eddie Lacy is listed as questionable after injuring his groin against the Panthers.

Stats at a glance

Things don’t look good for the Lions on paper – they rank close to last in scoring, points allowed, turnover margin and numerous other statistical categories. Green Bay aren’t great, but they can score points in a hurry.

Bet on the Lions vs. Packers to go under 48 points

This game boasts one of the highest totals of the week, but don’t expect a ton of points.

These two teams know each other well due to playing each other twice every regular season. Six of the last nine H2H games have gone under the total and only three of those games had 48+ points scored.

Last year at Lambeau these two teams combined for 50 points (30-20 GB), but Jordy Nelson was healthy and led the way for the Packers at WR. He’s not playing this year, plus Johnson on the Lions is banged up.

Johnson may not even play and even if he does, he’ll be hobbled by his ankle injury.

Randall Cobb is having a poor season (40 receptions for 476 yards and 5 TDs) considering he’s the #1 WR in GB, plus Eddie Lacy has been even worse. Lacy has only had 15+ carries twice this season, which is absurd.

The only way this game has a chance of going over the total is if the Packers defense scores a TD or two, which definitely isn’t out of the question. GB already have 10 INTs, while Matthew Stafford has thrown 11 INTs.

Part of the reason for Stafford’s turnover issues has been the fact he has to throw so often.

Detroit ranks last in rushing yards, despite having a stable of three half-decent RBs. They need to run the football more to not only control the clock and keep Rodgers off the field, but to also help out Stafford.

I really don’t know where the points for the Lions will come from in this game.

Green Bay allow a lot of passing yards, but they don’t give up too many TDs. GB ranks 11th in red zone defense and teams are only scoring a TD 51.72% of the time they enter the red zone.

My best bet is on the Lions and Packers to go under 48 points.

Unless you like the Lions to win for some strange reason, there’s no reason to consider betting on the money line in this game. The point spread is high and I lean to the Lions covering ATS coming off of their bye week.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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