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Jaguars vs. Packers Over/Under

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Green Bay Packers
When: 1:00pm EST. Sunday, October 28, 2012
Where: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin

US Friendly
US Friendly
+14.5 (-110)
-14.5 (-110)
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
o45.5 (-110) / u45.5 (-110)
o45.5 (-110) / u45.5 (-110)

I don’t expect the Jacksonville Jaguars 1-5 (3-3 ATS) and Green Bay Packers 4-3 (3-4 ATS) match-up to draw in much action at the betting window this weekend. Most Las Vegas and mobile bookmakers just released odds on the match-up due to the injury to MJD on the Jags.

Maurice Jones-Drew went down with a foot injury on the 1st play from scrimmage last week in Oakland. He’s expected to miss at least a few games with the injury, but there is no timetable. In the mean time Rashad Jennings will take over the running duties.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Green Bay Packers Over/Under

The Jaguars vs. Packers game total opened at 44.5 points, and is now up to 45.5. I think we could see this climb another 1/2 – 1 point, so if you like the over (like I do), get your bets in now. In general, BetOnline is better for NFL straight bets than Bovada, so if you don’t have an account at BetOnline, check them out.

Why The Jaguars vs. Packers Game is Going Over

Jacksonville has struggled with scoring all season and they rank dead last (32nd) in the league in points scored (14.7 PPG). Last week the Jaguars lost 26-23 on the road against the Raiders after letting Oakland climb back into the game in the 2nd half.

Rashad Jennings carried the football 21 times last week and he only gained 44 rushing yards and 1 TD. The Packers have allowed an average of 109.9 RYPG (17th) on defense, and Jennings will need a better performance this week to help his team.

Last week, Blaine Gabbert was putting up solid numbers before he went down with an injury. He’s been practicing and he should be playing this weekend against the Packers. Gabbert should be able to find open receivers against the Packers, who rank 17th in the NFL, giving up 232.4 yards per game. They’ve given up 11 passing TD’s and 90 1st downs, both below average in the league. They’re also prone to giving up some big plays, obviously a good thing if you’re taking the over.

Jennings can also catch the ball, as he proved last week with 7 receptions for 58 yards. The Jaguars would be smart to work the football to him in open space and keep the Packers defense guessing. After last week, I expect the Jaguars to do just that.

Green Bay’s offense is rolling, and in the past four weeks they’ve averaged 31.8 PPG. The Jaguars give up an average of 27.3 PPG (26th) and they’ve been horrible at stopping the run (147.3 RYPG – 29th), as well as the pass (264.5 PYPG – 24th).

Rodgers should have a field-day throwing the football on the Jaguars, and it wouldn’t surprise me if the Packers put up 40+ pts on Sunday at Lambeau. The Jags should be able to score also, as most teams have had success scoring against this Packers defense.

Jacksonville vs. Green Bay Over/Under Prediction

Bet Over 45.5 (-110) at BetOnline

The Jaguars vs. Packers point spread is up to -15 in favor of the Packers at home. The Jaguars injuries have oddsmakers guessing and I have no lean on the spread. With the way the Packers offense has been playing, the over is by far the best bet on this game.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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