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French Open 2017 – Women’s Outright Winner Odds and Pick

United States(29 winners) @ France(8 winners)

  • Where: Roland Garros Stadium. Paris, France
  • When: May 28, 2017 7:00 am EST
  • Moneyline: Simona Halep (+350), Elina Svitolina (+700), Garbine Muguruza (+800), Svetlana Kuznetsova (+1200), Angelique Kerber (+1400), Kristina Mladenovic (+1400), Caroline Wozniacki (+2800), Venus Williams (+3300)

It is somehow ironic that on the men’s side, Roger Federer has caused such consternation with his decision to withdraw from the French Open. Only in individual competition could a 35 year-old part-timer so dearly impact betting odds and pundit scrolls without even playing in a tournament.

But compared to the women’s side, the men’s bracket looks like a solid field chiseled in stone weeks ago.

That’s because not only is Serena Williams sitting this one out, Garbine Muguruza (one of only three women’s singles entries with sub four-digit futures odds) retired injured in the Italian Open semi-final over the weekend.

The limping Latin juggernaut has swapped places on the Bovada Sportsbook futures board with Elina Svitolina, the 22 year-old World #6 who is now being given (+700) odds as outright winner. But that could also reflect Simona Halep losing to Svitolina on the clay courts in Rome just a day after the Muguruza took a powder.

Enough chaos? Thankfully, betting value often lies in analyzing while the casinos scramble.

Without the all-consuming force of Serena Williams in Paris, the 2017 Roland Garros will feature a unique group of dynamite young ladies gunning for the Coupe Suzanne Lenglen. But the strange prologue in Italy has thrown a curveball at bookies, leaving potential value in outright-winner bets placed before and during the French Open.

If it Halep’s the Governor

At (+350) odds (potentially creeping higher due to the loss in Rome) the 2017 French Open women’s favorite merits consideration from the cash player. Halep played well in the Italian Open final until the third set, which seemed to indicate a big-picture decision not to sacrifice her body in a warm-up tournament.

Tabloids are going crazy over a minor ankle injury suffered by Halepeno in the first set on Sunday, which she later admitted was another reason to pull back. MSB agrees with Las Vegas that it is probably nothing. The fierce counter-attacker’s ankle has been getting steadily better as has her championship record in 2017.

Angelique Kerber is also a dangerous opponent for anyone under normal circumstances, a defensive genius who has held the tennis world on a leash on more than one occasion. But Kerber has struggled in 2017, and could get worn down playing defense on the clay. So could Muguruza, whose downright uncomfortable-looking limp should rightfully discourage any bets on her Paris success.

We do not see value in a futures wager on Svitolina, who is a terrific clay player but not worth the (+700) odds. At 22 years old the Ukrainian gem has yet to advance past the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam.

Which brings us to Svetlana Kuznetsova, more experienced than the other favorites at age 31 and accomplished on clay and at Roland Garros. But the Russian has developed a nasty habit of falling out of Grand Slam brackets early, and has suffered from injury in 2017.

With no proven commodity leading the pack, bettors must choose based on players’ style, confidence and upward trajectory. Svitolina is dazzling at times, but until her body and mind reach maturity she is a baseline-only player who struggles with volleys. Halep is confidently pacing a healed ankle, winning big tournaments (such as Madrid) and perfecting a style that can turn a big server’s best virtue against them.

Wager on Simona Halep (+350) as outright winner of the 2017 French Open women’s singles tournament, and receive a 50% off welcome bonus from Bovada Sportsbook.

After the first rally

Futures odds will change and losers will drop off the board, so it’s best to plan ahead – ironically – for any spontaneous betting during the tournament. Matches are fun, but so is scouting a long-odds underdog at 4 AM and seeing something special, then beating bookies and other opportunists to the punch.

Who and what to look for in early rounds?

– Caroline Wozniacki, and if she is out-lasting opponents. MSB likes players in their prime for a grueling clay-court tournament, and Wozniacki may finally be at the stage where her fitness and seasoning will begin to turn the tide. But bookies won’t go all-in on her odds (currently +2800) until things get serious.

– Kristina Mladenovic, and whether she gets in a groove. Kiki owns a versatile, terrific game that can wear out great players, especially on a bouncy surface. Earlier this season, she beat Kerber and Maria Sharipova back to back. But Mladenovic is a more accomplished doubles player, just now figuring out singles play on a Grand Slam level. An interesting futures play would present itself if the 24 year-old won in three sets in a couple of early matches, keeping odds long while the Saudi-Frenchwoman warms to the challenge.

– Venus Williams, and whether she can surprise us all again.

Your favorite future is winning

Gamblers seem to prefer two types of polarized futures bets – a short-odds investment on a “can’t miss” athlete or “playing the lottery” on a complete unknown. Our French Open women’s singles recommendation is smack in the mundane middle.

But sexy betting isn’t always good for your wallet. Halep’s modest odds and momentum make her an extremely solid one or two-unit outright-winner play for the 2017 French Open.

Kurt BoyerThis article was written by Kurt Boyer

A freelance sportswriter from Missouri, Kurt has covered court, gridiron, rink and ring for 10+ years. He muses about High School football on social media as The Gridiron Geek.

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