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Detroit vs. Chicago Betting Lines

What: Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears – Week 7 Monday Night Football
When: 8:30pm EST. Monday, October 22, 2012
Where: Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois

For week 7 Monday Night Football we have a great NFC North division match-up. The Detroit Lions (2-3, 1-4 ATS) are in last place in the division, and will be playing on the road against the Chicago Bears (4-1, 4-1 ATS). Let’s take a look at the latest Detroit vs. Chicago betting lines.

Lions vs. Bears Betting Lines: Week 7 MNF

US Friendly
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
o47 (-110)
u47 (-110)
US Friendly
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
o47.5 (-105)
u47.5 (-115)

The Lions vs. Bears betting lines haven’t moved much since they opened. Action has been about even on both teams, with the point spread moving 1/2 point. Chicago opened as a -6 point favorite and now they’re -6.5 at most online & Las Vegas sportsbooks. Vegas and online books are going to have a huge handle on this game, maybe the biggest of all MNF games so far in 2012.

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Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Betting Preview

This is a very important game for both teams, about as critical as a week 7 game can be. The Vikings are 5-2 after their week 7 win over the Cardinals, but they’re 1-0 in the division. If the Bears lose they will share the 5-2 record, but they’ll be 0-2 in the division. If that’s not enough, the Green Bay Packers are 4-3, and 1-0 in the division.

For the Lions, this is a chance to get back into the hunt. Although they have an uphill battle, a win would get them back to 3-3, and 1-1 in the division. Their season could hinge on this one, and a loss could all but end it for them. At 2-4 and 0-2 in the division, it would be damn-near impossible for them to overtake the three teams ahead of them in the NFC North.

Due to some key additions on offense, Chicago has played up to the lofty expectations this year. The opposite can be said for Detroit. The Bears defense is possibly the best in the NFL, and this should be a tough game for the Lions.

Detroit Lions Betting Lines, Stats & Analysis

– Best Detroit Point Spread: +6.5 (-105) at the Bovada Sportsbook
– Best Detroit Money Line: +230 at the BetOnline Sportsbook

The Lions are 2-3 (1-4 ATS) overall, and 1-2 (1-2 ATS) on the road in 2012. They’re -11 in net points, and have scored just 11 TD’s on the season. QB Matt Stafford has thrown just 4 TD’s, and 5 INT’s. Backup Shawn Hill accounts for the other 2 passing TD’s. These are odd numbers considering the Detroit offense ranks 2nd in yards per game (419.6), 10th in points per game (25.2), and they’ve only fumbled the ball three times in their first 5 games.

The Lions running game ranks 19th in the league, averaging 99.8 yards per game. Although the running game looks about average, that doesn’t tell the entire story. The Lions are 31st in rushing attempts (after the Sunday week 7 games, and considering they’ve had their bye week), yet they’ve scored 5 rushing TD’s already. Although Detroit doesn’t rely on their runningbacks to eat time off the clock or gain a lot of yards, the running game is very efficient when they go to it.

The problem is, the Bears have the #1 ranked rushing defense in the NFL. They’ve given up just 65.8 yards/game, and just one TD. Nobody is trying to run against the Bears defense (only 18.2 attempts per game), and nobody is getting anywhere when they try. So, although the Detroit running game is decent, they Lions are going to have a tough time gaining rushing yards. I expect the Lions to let Stafford loose, and keep the running game mostly limited to 3rd & short. This can also be dangerous for the Lions, but it could also help handicappers win the over (if the passing game can be effective and make a few big plays).

Detroit is improving, but I still expect Chicago to cover this point spread at home. They’ve had a lot of time to prepare for the Lions, and they’re playing better.

Chicago Bears Betting Lines, Stats & Analysis

– Best Chicago Point Spread: -6.5 (-110) at the BetOnline Sportsbook
– Best Chicago Money Line: -260 at the Bovada Sportsbook

The Chicago offense still isn’t overly explosive, but the additions of Brandon Marshall and Michael Bush have helped a lot. The Bears still only have the 23rd ranked passing offense (222.6 PYPG) and the 10th best rushing offense (123.6 RYPG), but they score a lot.

Chicago doesn’t turn the football over much or take too many costly penalties, and that’s helped them average 29.8 PPG. Detroit, who was supposed to have a decent defense this season only ranks 24th in points allowed (27.4 PPG) through six weeks.

The Bears haven’t been fantastic at stopping the pass (225.4 PYPG – 13th), but don’t let that fool you. They’ve only given up 5 passing TD’s, and they’ve picked off opposing QB’s 13 times through their first five games. Add 18 sacks to those numbers and it’s easy to see why the Bears are winning.

RB’s Matt Forte and Michael Bush should have a solid day gaining yards, but I expect Cutler and the Bears passing game to get into the end zone. When these guys have good days, Chicago wins football games.

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Point Spread

In 2012, the Bears have scored 15.6 points per game more than their opponents. The -6.5 spread may seem high, but with the Bears playing great football and coming off of a bye this past week, it’s hard not to bet on them at Soldier Field where they dominate. The Chicago Bears have played two home games this year, beating the Colts 41-21 and the Rams 23-6. The Bears are 9-1 ATS in their last ten games, and the Lions are 1-4 ATS in 2012.

I’m taking the Bears -6.5 (-110) at BetOnline.

Detroit vs Chicago Money Line

As of Monday morning at 7:05am EST, the best Detroit money line is +230 at BetOnline.com. The best Chicago money line is -260 at Bovada.lv. I’m taking the Bears on the point spread, and although I expect them to win fairly easily, I prefer giving up the points and paying -110.

For the Lions, +230 isn’t enough value to make this bet. Do they have a shot to win this game? Sure, that’s why they play it. But, I don’t think they win it often enough to justify those odds. Personally, I think Chicago could easily win this by 10+, so I would have to see something in the +300 or greater range to make this bet. We aren’t going to get anywhere near that, so I won’t be betting the Lions vs Bears money line.

Lions vs. Bears Over/Under

For the Lions vs. Bears over/under we can get or give 1/2 point depending on where we bet. At BetOnline, the over/under is 47 (-110) on either side. At Bovada, the over/under is 47.5, at -105 on the over and -115 on the under. It comes down to how much you want that 1/2 point.

Personally, I think we’re going to see a score in the range of 24-14 to 27-20, giving us a lot more winning under totals. I don’t think it’s going to come down to a half-point, so I’m taking under 47 (-110) at BetOnline.com.

Lions vs. Bears Video Preview from DonBest

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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