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Cowboys vs. Packers NFC Playoffs Betting – Over/Under

Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers Preview

When: Sunday, January 11th 2015 at 1:00pm ET
Where: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin
Watch: FOX

The Dallas Cowboys narrowly escaped with a home win over the Lions in the wild card round. They now have to head on the road to play another NFC North team in the Green Bay Packers. This will prove to be a much tougher test and I’ll explain in this article.

Detroit may have had the #1 defense, but the Packers have the #1 offense. This Cowboys defense will really have to step it up if they want to advance to the NFC Championship Game. I’ll be wagering on the game total rather than the point spread in this match-up.

Latest Game Total Odds in DAL vs. GB

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Green Bay is a -5.5 point favorite and while I like them to cover it’s just too close. I feel that the better bet is on the over in what will be a shootout between two high octane offenses. It’ll be cold at Lambeau, but other than that the weather will be fine (Clear Skies).

Cowboys vs. Packers Stats Pack

These teams are both offensive minded and will be looking to put up points in this game. Both defenses rank out at about average in the NFL. This game has the second highest total this weekend, but I expect it to be the highest scoring game out of the bunch.

Why I’m Betting on the Over in GB vs. DAL

DeMarco Murray wasn’t great last week, but I expect him to be much better against the Packers. First off, Green Bay is allowing an average of 119.9 RYPG (23rd) on the season. Dallas comes into this match-up with the 2nd ranked rushing unit (147.1 RYPG).

There is no way that the Packers will be able to keep Murray out of the end zone. Dallas has committed to the run all season and I’m confident they’ll continue pounding the rock. That’ll also help the Cowboys pass offense (236.5 PYPG – 16th) with spacing downfield.

Green Bay has been much stronger against the pass (226.4 PYPG – 10th), so the Cowboys will need to try and establish the run early in order to open up the field for Tony Romo. I don’t like Dez Bryant in this match-up, but I do like the Cowboys secondary receivers.

Cole Beasley and Terrance Williams are always in single coverage and they’ve been carving up defenses lately. Aaron Rodgers comes into this game banged up, but the Packers are going with the same game plan as always, which means they’re likely to air it out.

The Packers averaged 266.3 PYPG (8th) and 119.8 RYPG (11th) during the regular season. Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb and Eddie Lacy are all incredible talents on offense. I have no idea how the Cowboys plan on containing these three studs for a whole game.

Dallas hasn’t been good against the pass all season (251.9 PYPG – 26th). The Packers would be wise to air it out early because their two stud WR’s can break a long TD at anytime. I expect Lacy to get some work also, but more so once the Packers are leading.

The Cowboys only give up 103.1 RYPG (8th) and it may be tough to run on them. The Lions had little luck running the football, but I’m a big fan of Lacy due to his bruising run style. If he can get 20+ touches he’s going to find the end zone and have a good game.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers Best Bet

These teams have only played each other once recently and that was in December 2013. The Packers won 37-36 and it wouldn’t surprise me if we seen a similar score on Sunday afternoon. This feels like a game where both teams will exceed 30+ points.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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