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Cowboys in Must Win Situation Against the Redskins in Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Redskins Preview

Start Time: Sunday, December 22nd 2013 at 1:00pm ET
Stadium: FedEx Field in George’s County, Maryland
Station: Watch Live on FOX

This is basically a must win game for the Dallas Cowboys 7-7 (8-6 ATS) if they want to stay alive in the NFC East. The Eagles are up a game in the division, but Dallas plays Philly next week. With so much on the line Dallas I think should easily win this match-up.

The Washington Redskins 3-11 (4-10 ATS) are the worst team in the NFC and they shutdown Robert Griffin III for the season before last week’s game. Kirk Cousins almost got Washington a win last week, but they ended up losing by 1 point against the Falcons.

Cowboys vs. Redskins Betting Lines

I thought this point spread opened pretty low considering how much is on the line for the Cowboys. Most bookies are up to –3 now, but you can still get Dallas –2.5 at the Bovada Sportsbook. I’d jump on the spread because you’ll get a worse number by Sunday.

DAL vs. WAS Injury Report

Dallas is banged up on defense with a handful of players’ questionable/out this week including Sean Lee and Morris Claiborne. RGIII isn’t playing for the Redskins although he isn’t injured. Losing TE Jordan Reed has also hurt the struggling Redskins offense.

Why Dallas Will Beat Washington

The Cowboys beat the Redskins in week 6 (31-16) despite gaining just 218 total yards on offense. RGIII turned the football over twice and Dwayne Harris on the Cowboys had a great day in the return game, which was enough to set-up a few short fields for Dallas.

Washington has turned the football over 33 times (16 Interceptions & 17 Fumbles) this season and they have a TO margin of –8. The change at QB hasn’t helped much, as Cousins has 4 INT’s already. Dallas has a +11 TO margin and they’ve forced 26 turnovers.

Without the TO’s that the Cowboys have forced this year they would be completely out of the playoff race. In the NFL turnovers are very important. Washington will find a way to turnover the football to the Cowboys and blow this game even if it’s close.

Dallas is only averaging 241.6 PYPG (16th) and 96.6 RYPG (23rd), but they’re scoring 28.1 PPG (4th). Part of the reason is because of the turnovers mentioned above. Dallas has had a lot of short fields this season and they often convert those opportunities into points.

In the last three weeks Tony Romo, Demarco Murray and the Cowboys offense have scored 31.7 PPG. Washington on the other hand has scored 21.8 PPG (23rd) on average this season and just 17.7 PPG the last three weeks. I expect Dallas to score 28+ points.

You can’t get much worse than the Dallas defense this season. They give up more yards than anyone (427.3 YPG). Their secondary is the worst at stopping the pass (297.4 PYPG). Dallas allows 27.5 PPG (26th) and it’d be worse if they didn’t force so many turnovers.

Washington gives up a league worst 31 PPG. They have allowed teams to gain 251.9 PYPG (21st) and 110.9 RYPG (17th). The Redskins haven’t given up too many yards when compared with the worst teams in the league, but they give up more points due to TO’s.

These two defenses are terrible, but at the end of the day who do you trust more at QB, Tony Romo or Kirk Cousins? I’m putting my trust in Romo who has choked in these situations before, but I feel that the Washington is in disarray and there is no fixing this team until the off-season.

Cowboys vs. Redskins Picks

This game almost seems like a trap to me and believe me, the Cowboys find ways to loose games they should win. However, at the same time, Dallas needs to win to keep their season alive while Washington is playing for nothing except a good draft pick now.

I have a feeling this will be a shootout and the over also looks good, but it’s a very high total and you can’t count on Washington to put up points. Dallas cruised to victory against Washington earlier in the year despite playing poorly and I expect a similar result.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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