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Colts vs. Texans Betting Preview – TNF Week 6

When: Thursday, October 9th 2014 at 8:25pm ET
Where: NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas
Watch: CBS

The Indianapolis Colts 3-2 (4-1 ATS) has been kind to bettors in the early part of the season. They’ll head on this Thursday to take on the Houston Texans 3-2 (4-1 ATS). The Texans have also been great ATS, which is why the point spread in this game is so low.

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Indy has opened up as a –2.5 point road favorite and I expect this number to increase, so jump on them now. The Colts are playing great football right now. The over/under is 46 points and I don’t expect to see much movement on the game total.

IND @ HOU Statistical Analysis

The Colts have a huge edge on offense, but the Texans are much stronger defensively. Will the Colts be able to put up enough points to win on the road or will the Texans be able to frustrate them? This is a huge match-up in the AFC South for both of these teams.

Can the Colts Extend Their Winning Streak?

Fans were worried after a 0-2 start for the Colts, but they’ve bounced back with three wins in a row. Indy just beat the Ravens (20-13) at home, but Andrew Luck struggled by his standards. He completed 32 of 49 pass attempts for 312 yards, 1 TD and 2 INT’s.

Ahmad Bradshaw and Trent Richardson were both productive, as they both averaged over 4.0 YPC on a stingy Ravens run defense, which was surprising. The Colts are averaging 117.8 RYPG (17th) and they still rank 1st in the NFL in passing yards (321.8 PYPG).

Houston has been fortunate that their defense leads the NFL in forced turnovers (12) because they’re allowing opposing teams to gain 253.2 PYPG (22nd) and 132.2 RYPG (25th). Without the timely turnovers this team would be giving up a lot more points.

If the Texans want to win they’re going to need to rely heavily on Arian Foster. As a team Houston is gaining 127.0 RYPG (11th). So far Foster has stayed healthy. He has gained 404 rushing yards (3 TD’s) on 86 carries and 99 receiving yards on 13 receptions.

Ryan Fitzpatrick hasn’t been playing that well and the Texans are only averaging 211.0 PYPG (24th). Fitzpatrick has only thrown for 5 TD’s through the air compared to 6 INT’s. He has talent around him in the passing game, but he isn’t getting the job done.

Andre Johnson leads the teams in receptions (27), but he’s banged up and not playing at 100%. DeAndre Hopkins has looked great though, as he has 24 receptions for 354 yards and 3 TD’s. Hopkins has made some big plays when Fitzpatrick gets the ball to him.

Indianapolis’s defense has been average this season. They’re allowing 240.4 PYPG (16th) and 101.8 RYPG (12th), which is that bad if you consider who they’ve played. I expect the Colts to keep the Texans in check and force a couple turnovers in this game.

Colts vs. Texans Week 6 Picks

Luck is 3-1 against the Texans in his career with three consecutive wins. His stats aren’t that great either in those games and with the way he’s playing this year I’m confident that the Colts will be able to blow the roof off of NRG Stadium on primetime this Thursday.

Indy went into Houston last year and won 27-24 in a close game, but I expect them to win by a TD+ this time around. The Colts are just way better offensively and as long as they don’t turn the football over the Texans have been giving up yards in big chunks.

The Colts o-line has been playing great and Luck has only been sacked six times on the year. J.J. Watt will be bearing down on him in this game, but as long as the Colts are balanced offensively and run the football enough it’ll keep the Texans pass rush guessing.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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