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Colts vs. Steelers Week 9 Money Line and O/U Picks

Indianapolis Colts(5-2) @ Pittsburgh Steelers(3-4)

  • Where: Heinz Field. Pittsburgh, PA
  • When: November 3, 2019 1:00 pm EST
  • Spread: Colts +1 (-115) vs. Steelers -1 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Colts (-105) vs. Steelers (-115)
  • Over / Under: Over 42.5 (-110) vs. Under 42.5 (-110)

The Indianapolis Colts (4-2-1 ATS) travel to Heinz Field to play the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3 ATS) in an important AFC match-up that could have huge playoff implications for both teams.

Indy are leading the AFC South and have won three consecutive games. Pittsburgh have won two in a row and are second place in the AFC North, but need to keep winning to stay in the playoff hunt.

Colts at Steelers Betting Lines – Market Moves

Despite about 80% of the point spread bets being placed on the Colts, this point spread is up to -1.5 in favor of the Steelers and based on how these teams are playing, I have no idea why PIT is favored.

The over/under is down to O/U 42.5 points at the Bovada Sportsbook ($250 New Player Bonus).

Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Statistical Preview

These two teams match-up pretty evenly statistically.

One area where the Steelers have a big edge is turnover differential.

The Steelers have 19 takeaways (10 INTs / 9 Fumbles) compared to 9 giveaways (6 INTs / 3 Fumbles), while Indy have only 7 takeaways (4 INTs / 3 Fumbles) and 7 giveaways (3 INTs / 4 Fumbles).

The Colts will need to make sure they protect the football at Heinz Field. Pittsburgh is likely going to keep this game close and they could be one turnover away from winning the game throughout.

IND @ PIT Head-to-Head (H2H Records)

The Colts haven’t defeated the Steelers in a H2H game since 2008 with Peyton Manning at QB.

Since that victory, the Colts are 0-5 against Pittsburgh, but they haven’t played in nearly two years and both of these teams have changed a lot since that time, so view these H2H trends cautiously.

Why I’m Betting on the Colts ML vs. Steelers in NFL Week 9 Action

Pittsburgh may have won two games in a row, but those wins were against the Chargers (24-17) and Dolphins (27-14). There’s no reason to think the Steelers have turned the corner yet.

The Steelers have lost when they’ve struggled to contain the run game. In the Steelers four losses, they allowed 99 (NE), 151 (SEA), 168 (SF) and 138 rushing yards (BAL).

Colts Week 9 Money Line PickIndy have great depth at RB with Marlon Mack (590 rushing yards and 3 TDs) leading the way, but they also have Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins getting touches to keep everyone fresh.

On the other side of the football, the Steelers are getting thin at RB. James Conner was injured late on MNF against the Dolphins and Benny Snell has a banged up knee. Both could miss this week.

That would leave Jaylen Samuels as the top option at RB. Samuels has 18 carries for 50 yards (2.8 Avg.) and 1 TD. He’s definitely a downgrade from Conner, which will hurt Mason Rudolph too.

Rudolph needs the running game going or I believe he’ll be exposed. In four starts, Rudolphs has thrown for 174 (SF), 229 (CIN), 131 (BAL) and 251 yards (MIA), which isn’t going to cut it in the NFL.

The Colts are playing better football and are healthier. The wrong team is favored in this week 9 match-up and I’ll definitely be betting on the Colts money line at Bovada.

Colts vs. Steelers Over/Under Prediction

Indy have gone over the total in 4 games and under in 3 games this season, while Pittsburgh have gone over the total in 2 games and under in 5 games. Both offenses have struggled this season.

This game has the makings of a 21-17 or 20-17 type of score. There aren’t going to be a lot of points scored in this game and I’d jump on the under now before the game total decreases any further.

The Colts would be wise to run the football and eat up the clock. I don’t expect Rudolph to put up big numbers either, as the Colts can focus on shutting down the pass with the injuries at RB.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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