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Colts Favored Over Bengals in AFC Wild Card Round

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts Preview

When: Sunday, January 4th 2014 at 1:00pm ET
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana
Watch: CBS

The Indianapolis Colts (11-5) won the AFC South division and will host the Cincinnati Bengals (10-5-1) on Sunday. The Bengals have been struggling a bit down the stretch (3-2 in L5 Games), which cost them first place in the AFC North after losing last week.

Bengals vs. Colts Betting Lines

Bet on the Bengals vs. Colts at Bovada this weekend and earn $250 free.

This line is –3 to –4 points depending upon where you look this week and most bookies aren’t moving off their number. At –3 I like the Colts a lot. They come into this game as winners in four of their last five games and they have a 6-2 record at home.

CIN @ IND Statistics

Andrew Luck and this Colts offense is a step above the Bengals offense to say the least. A.J. Green is questionable, but even if Green plays he’ll be limited by lingering injuries. Defensively the Bengals are slightly better, but the Colts aren’t far behind them.

Why I’m Betting on the Colts to Cover the Point Spread

Indianapolis has slowed on offense a bit the past month, but they’ve been dealing with injuries during that time. T.Y. Hilton has been limited as of late, but he’s healthy and ready to roll. They need a healthy Hilton in order to stretch the field and open things up.

All season the Colts have relied on their #1 passing attack (305.9 PYPG) while the run game (100.8 RYPG – 22nd) has lagged behind. A big blow was losing Ahmad Bradshaw to a broken leg because he was putting up consistent numbers in the run game.

Having a run game won’t be that important in this game. Cincy allows 243.0 PYPG (20th) and 116.3 RYPG (20th), so Luck will be able to find plenty of yards through the air, especially with his weapons. The Bengals are going to have a difficult time stopping this attack.

Ten players on the Colts finished the season with 100+ receiving yards, which shows their incredible depth. Fleener and Allen have been great at the TE position and they’ve combined for 16 TD’s. That’s nearly half of Luck’s 40 passing TD’s this season.

Cincy is going to look at their RB duo to lead them past the Colts in an ugly win on the road. Jeremy Hill and Giovani Bernard are both healthy and sharing the work load. The Bengals rank 6th in rushing yards (134.2 RYPG), but only 21st in passing yards (213.8 PYPG).

Andy Dalton has a tendency to struggle in big games. He didn’t play well last week with the AFC North on the line and now they’re stuck playing on the road. With Green limited and Mohamed Sanu struggling it’s hard to imagine Dalton putting up big numbers.

The Colts are giving up 229.3 PYPG (12th) and 113.4 RYPG (18th), so the Bengals will have better success running anyways. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Colts try and stack the box early while manning up on the outside to keep Hill contained on the ground.

Look for the Colts to pressure Dalton and force mistakes as well as the game progresses. If they can force a turnover or two this one could get ugly in a hurry. Indy has potential to make noise in the AFC and they won’t blow it at home against the Bengals.

Bengals vs. Colts Picks

This game has the potential to get ugly because the Bengals offense isn’t built to comeback from a big deficit. If the Colts can score a couple TD’s in the 1st quarter I could see the Bengals start to fold. I’m actually surprised we can still get the Colts at just a FG.

You’ll be paying some extra juice to bet the Colts at –3, but it’s worth it just in case the game ends up being close. The Colts are still unproven in the playoffs, but Luck is having his best year by far and I expect them to advance with relative ease at home.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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