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Chiefs vs. Ravens Moneyline Pick – NFL Week 3 MNF

Kansas City Chiefs(2-0) @ Baltimore Ravens(2-0)

  • Where: M&T Bank Stadium. Baltimore, MD
  • When: September 28, 2020 8:15 pm EST
  • Spread: Chiefs +3.5 (-110) vs. Ravens -3.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Chiefs (+165) vs. Ravens (-190)
  • Over / Under: Over 54.5 Points (-110) vs. Under 54.5 Points (-110)

KC at BAL Week 3 PicksThe Kansas City Chiefs (2-0 / 1-1 ATS) play the Baltimore Ravens (2-0 / 2-0 ATS) on Monday night.

This is easily the most anticipated NFL week 3 match-up. Patrick Mahones will battle it out with Lamar Jackson. This will be the third time these two QBs have played against each other.

Kansas City have won both of those head-to-head games.

In 2018, the Chiefs won at home (27-24) and last season they also won at home (33-28). This game will be played in Baltimore, though, where the Ravens have gone 13-3 the last two seasons.

Mahomes has been unstoppable the two times he has played against the Ravens. In the first game, he threw for 377 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT. In the second game, he threw for 374 yards and 3 TDs.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens Betting Lines

We have taken the Chiefs vs. Ravens betting lines from Bovada.lv (#1 Bookie in the US).

This line opened up with the Ravens as -2.5 point favorites, but the line has moved to -3.5 points.

Based on the recent head-to-head results, I’m a little surprised this line has gone above a FG and it wouldn’t surprise me if the point spread dropped a ½ point or full point before kick-off.

The game total opened up at 52 points and has been bet up to 54.5 points. The over/under doesn’t interest me on Monday night, but I’m interested in the moneyline (ML).

At the time of publishing, the Ravens are -190 favorites and the Chiefs are +165 underdogs.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Preview – Statistical Analysis

Here’s how these two teams stack up statistically through the first two weeks:

The Ravens have easily been the better team after two weeks, but the Chiefs match-up well with Baltimore and there’s definitely value taking the Chiefs moneyline on MNF.

Kansas City has struggled on defense this season, but they haven’t allowed many points. It has been a more bend, but not break style of defense. The offense has been great, though.

The Chiefs have more weapons on offense than the Ravens. Rookie RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been off to a hot start – rushing for 176 yards (1 TD) on just 35 carries.

Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins and Travis Kelce are all threats in the passing game. Watkins was injured against the Chargers in week 2 and is listed as questionable right now.

The Ravens have been relying on one of the best running attacks in the league.

Jackson leads the team with 99 rushing yards, but Gus Edwards (90), Mark Ingram II (84) and J.K. Dobbins (70) have all contributed, which allows the three RBs to remain fresh all game.

Marquise Brown has caught 10 of 12 passes for 143 yards. Mark Andrews (2 TDs) is a threat in the red zone, but he’s not going to break off any big plays. He relies on play action passes.

Baltimore have jumped out to leads in their first two games. If the Chiefs can jump out to a lead with an explosive offensive play, the Ravens run game won’t be nearly as successful.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Week 3 Prediction

This is a bet on Mahomes. He has played great both times he has played the Ravens and I expect him to do his best to outshine Jackson in Baltimore on primetime TV.

We’re getting a great price on the Chiefs moneyline (+165).

I’ll also have a wager on the Chiefs at +3.5 points. This is going to be a close game and getting more than a field goal on the spread is huge. The Chiefs also show up when playing on primetime.

The Chiefs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five Monday Night Football games.

Good luck this week and make sure you close out week 3 with the Chiefs on MNF.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.


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