When: Thursday, November 10th 2016 at 8:25 PM ET
Where: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland
Watch: NFL Network
Are you able to hold in your excitement? No, seriously. Can you? We have the winless Cleveland Browns 0-9 (2-7 ATS) taking on the Baltimore Ravens 4-4 (3-5 ATS) on Thursday Night Football (TNF).
Even if you enjoy division rivalries or you’re a fan of either team, there isn’t much to get excited about this week’s primetime TNF game. This will be a tough game to bet against the spread (ATS), as Baltimore have opened up as 10-point favorites despite winning just one of their last five games.
Browns at Ravens point spread odds
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- Money Line: Browns (+450) vs. Ravens (-600)
- Point Spread: Browns +10 (-110) vs. Ravens –10 (-110)
- Game Total: Over 45 Points (-110) vs. Under 45 Points (-110)
The sharps are jumping on the Browns at +10 points, which leads me to believe this line may drop before kick-off on Thursday night. Early bets have been coming in on the under as well.
Stats
These teams already played in week 2 and the Ravens won 25-20 in Cleveland. The Browns were actually up 20-2 after the opening quarter, but they managed to squander the lead and lose. Dating back to 2008, the Ravens are 15-2 head-to-head against the Browns.
- Points Scored: Browns 18.7 PPG (29th) vs. Ravens 19.2 PPG (25th)
- Passing Yards (OFF): Browns 234.7 PYPG (23rd) vs. Ravens 243.4 PYPG (20th)
- Rushing Yards (OFF): Browns 106.3 RYPG (20th) vs. Ravens 81.8 RYPG (28th)
- Points Allowed: Browns 30.3 PPG (31st) vs. Ravens 19.1 PPG (9th)
- Passing Yards (DEF): Browns 275.2 PYPG (23rd) vs. Ravens 222.6 PYPG (7th)
- Rushing Yards (DEF): Browns 146.4 RYPG (31st) vs. Ravens 76.1 RYPG (2nd)
- Turnover Differential: Browns –4 (24th) vs. Ravens +2 (12th)
Baltimore has been just as bad as Cleveland offensively, but they have the edge on defense. Baltimore are a top 10 defense and they already have 14 takeaways through eight games.
Browns vs. Ravens ATS predictions for week 10
Jump on the Browns now before the spread drops off the key number of 10 points. I know it isn’t easy to put your hard earned money on a winless team, but the Browns are going to cover ATS.
I mentioned how dominant the Ravens have been against the Browns the past decade, but since 2013 these two teams have played each other seven times and only one game was decided by 10 points.
Isaiah Crowell rushed for 133 yards and 1 TD on 18 carries in the week 2 game. Most of those yards came early in the game and the Browns need to establish the run again. Rather than abandoning the run after getting a lead, the Browns need to do their best to milk the clock and shorten the game.
I don’t care who is playing at QB for the Browns right now (Cody Kessler is starting this week), this aerial attack isn’t scaring anyone and Cleveland simply can’t contend in shootouts.
Baltimore’s offense has been sputtering out of control. Terrance West is the lead RB, but he has gained a combined 31 yards on 23 carries in the Ravens last two games. Joe Flacco hasn’t thrown for more than 248 yards in either of the Ravens last two games either.
The Ravens haven’t scored more than 27 points in a game all season. The Browns don’t need to score often to keep this game within the point spread, but make sure you’re getting +10 points.
Browns at Ravens week 10 over/under predictions
This is going to be a sleeper and a game you may not even watch. However, the Browns +10 is a great way to pad your bankroll before Sunday. Alternatively, under 45 points looks tempting too.
I’m not 100% sold on this bet yet, but both offenses are so bad I have no clue where the points will come from. Turnovers could send the total flying over, but that concern alone shouldn’t keep you from betting on the under, especially when everything points to this game being low scoring.