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Broncos Host the Chargers at Mile High in Week 15 on TNF

San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos Preview

When: Thursday, December 12th 2013 at 8:25pm ET
Where: Sports Authority Field in Denver, Colorado
Watch: Live on the NFL Network

The Denver Broncos 11-2 (8-5 ATS) host the San Diego Chargers 6-7 (7-5-1 ATS) this week at Mile High on Thursday Night Football. It should be a competitive game between two AFC West rivals, but the Chargers will have to find a way to stop Peyton Manning.

With the AFC being weak this season the Chargers still have a shot at a wild card if they can string together a few wins. The Broncos were able to clinch their spot in the playoffs with a win over the Titans (51-28), but they’re still fighting for the division crown.

Latest SD vs. DEN Betting Lines

Live Odds Courtesy of Bovada.

Denver opened as a –12 point favorite this week, but the point spread has quickly shot down to –10.5 points. I wouldn’t expect it to drop any further. The total was released at O/U 54 points and it has been going up since. I expect the total to continue rising as well.

Will the Broncos Remain Perfect at Home

The Broncos are a perfect 7-0 when playing at Mile High this season and they’re also 4-0 against AFC West teams. These two teams played in SD in week 10. Denver won 28-20, but their 28 points on offense was their 2nd lowest total in a single game this season.

Peyton Manning completed 25/36 passes for 330 passing yards and 4 TD’s in that game, but he also lost a fumble. On the season no one has shutdown Manning and the Broncos offense. The team averages 39.6 PPG (1st), 341.2 PYPG (1st) and 124.4 RYPG (12th).

Now that Denver has locked up a spot in the playoffs I’d expect them to run the football more and keep Manning protected. Moreno and Ball are both sharing the workload in the backfield right now and both running backs have looked good the last few weeks.

San Diego is unlikely to stop the Broncos offense from gaining a lot of yards, but they have held teams to 22.4 PPG (12th). They give up more yards than the majority of teams in the NFL though, as they’ve allowed 266.7 PYPG (28th) and 115.8 RYPG (19th).

Can Rivers Lead San Diego to a Victory

Phillip Rivers had a poor performance at home against Denver in week 10. Rivers went 19/29 for 218 passing yards and 1 TD. Rivers didn’t have a turnover in the game, but when you go up against Manning you need to throw for more yards than he was able to.

Rivers has actually had a good season on the whole though, as the Chargers average 24.3 PPG (13th) and 288.7 PYPG (4th). Their run game isn’t nearly as effective (111.8 RYPG – 20th) although Ryan Matthews has quietly rushed for 885 yards (4 TD’s) on 207 carries.

Thankfully for Denver they have one of the best offenses in the NFL because their defense has been flat all season. Denver is giving up 26.5 PPG (26th), 274.3 PYPG (29th) and 99.8 RYPG (7th). They have a stingy front seven, but the secondary keeps getting torched.

The only way San Diego can win this game is if Rivers is able to have a bigger game than Manning. He can’t turn the football over and they also have to score TD’s on the majority of their possessions. This will be a shootout, but I wouldn’t count the Chargers out.

Chargers vs. Broncos Best Bet

Denver has won the last four H2H meetings, but they’ve only won one of those games by double digits. When you have a game with division rivals it often ends up being close. San Diego is still in the playoff hunt and know they need to win this game to have a shot.

I don’t expect the Broncos to lose at Mile High, but I don’t think they’ll dominate San Diego either. The Chargers defense has to hold Manning in check and Ryan Matthews needs to have a 100+ rushing yards in this match-up to keep the SD defense on the sidelines.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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