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Bills vs. Chiefs Moneyline Pick – AFC Title Game

Buffalo Bills(15-3) @ Kansas City Chiefs(15-2)

  • Where: Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City, MI
  • When: January 24, 2021 6:40 pm EST
  • Spread: Bills +3 (-105) vs. Chiefs -3 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Bills (+140) vs. Chiefs (-160)
  • Over / Under: Over 54 Points (-110) vs. Under 54 Points (-110)

Bills vs. Chiefs AFC Championship Game PreviewI’m extremely excited for the 2021 AFC Championship Game on Sunday evening.

The Buffalo Bills (15-3 / 12-6 ATS) travel to Arrowhead to play the Kansas City Chiefs (15-2 / 7-10 ATS). This will be the second head-to-head meeting this season – KC won (26-17) back in week 6.

Patrick Mahomes (21/26 for 225 yards and 2 TDs) was extremely efficient in the win, while Josh Allen (14/27 for 122 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT) struggled to move the football most of the game.

A lot has changed since then, though. The Bills have won eight consecutive games.

Bills vs. Chiefs Betting Lines Movement

KC opened up as small -2.5 point favorites at home and the line is now KC -3 (-115) at Bovada.

The over/under in the Bills vs. Chiefs opened up at 56 points, but we’ve seen a lot of movement on this line. The total has dropped to 54 points at most online bookies at the time of publishing.

2021 AFC Championship Game Sportsbook Promotions

Apart from big welcome bonuses at Bovada and Intertops – Intertops also has a unique promotion.

Place a bet on the “First Touchdown Scorer” betting market before the game. If your player ends up scoring the second TD of the game instead of the first, you’ll receive up to a $50 free bet.

The free bet is either $10, $25 or $50 and depends upon your stake for the qualifying bet.

BUF vs. KC Preview and Stats

The Chiefs received a Wild Card Round bye after finishing atop the AFC regular season standings. In the Divisional Round, KC were able to hold on against Cleveland (22-17).

Mahomes was forced to leave the game after taking a hit in the third quarter. Mahomes was unable to return to the game, but it looks like he’ll start on Sunday, as he has been practicing this week.

The Chiefs could also welcome back RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire and WR Sammy Watkins this week. Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley are both listed as questionable, but will suit up again on Sunday.

Here’s how these two teams stack up against each other statistically:

In the first H2H game, Edwards-Helaire rushed for 161 yards and 26 carries. As a team, the Chiefs rushed for 245 yards and 1 TD in the win. That’s unlikely to happen again.

For one, CEH will be limited if he starts, he won’t be getting 20+ carries.

Considering how many yards the Bills gave up against the Chiefs in week 6, they didn’t give up too many points. With a banged up Mahomes who’ll likely be a bit gunshy, the Bills are live underdogs.

Bills at Chiefs ML Prediction

I’m backing the road underdog to steal this game from a banged up Chiefs team.

Allen has been slinging it in the playoffs. He only has 3 TD passes, but he also has 0 INTs. I also like the fact he has been spreading the football around throughout the two playoff games.

Diggs leads the team with 14 receptions for 234 yards and 2 TDs in the playoffs, but Gabriel Davis, John Brown and Beasley have all stepped up and contributed when it counts.

The Bills are 3-1 (4-0 ATS) in their last four road games and they’re 4-0 ATS in the last four games they’ve been an underdog. They have the passing attack to keep up with the Chiefs.

Bills at Chiefs Over/Under Prediction

The Bills vs. Chiefs game total opened up too high and it’s still too high.

They combined to score 43 points in the H2H game earlier this season. I expect another close and low-scoring game. There will be some big receptions, but both defenses will make some stops.

With Mahomes banged up and the Chiefs running all over the Bills in week 6, I expect Andy Reid will look to establish the run early on to eat up some clock.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.


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