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Bet on Notre Dame to Win at Home Against Stanford

Stanford Cardinal vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Preview

When: Saturday, October 4th 2014 at 3:30pm ET
Where: Notre Dame Stadium in ND, Indiana
Watch: Live on NBC

The Stanford Cardinal 3-1 (2-2 ATS) head on the road to play the Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4-0 (3-1 ATS) on Saturday. These rivals are very familiar with each other. Five of the last seven games between these two teams have ended within a TD.

Everett Golson has been playing great again after missing last season for academic reasons. Notre Dame has wins over Michigan (31-0) and Syracuse (31-15), but this is their toughest game thus far. Stanford beat Washington (20-13), but has a loss to USC (13-10).

Stanford vs. Notre Dame Money Line Odds

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I was surprised to see Stanford open up as a favorite to win on the road based on how these two teams have looked. Stanford has a great defense again like usual, but their offense is weak and I can’t see them being able to keep up with ND on the scoreboard.

Will Notre Dame Score on the Cardinal?

Stanford has the best defense in the nation (6.5 PPG) and they rank 1st in passing yards allowed (74.0 PYPG) as well. The Cardinal are only allowing opposing teams to gain 3.75 yards per pass attempt and 6.58 yards per pass completion on the season.

Golson played Stanford in 2012 and Notre Dame won 20-13. Golson struggled with accuracy (12 of 24), but he gained 141 yards and 1 TD through the air. He also rushed for 41 yards on 15 carries. The dual-threat QB will keep the Stanford defense honest.

I wouldn’t call it a weakness, but Stanford is allowing 124.0 RYPG (42nd). USC was able to gain 156 rushing yards on 37 carries (4.2 YPC) in Stanford’s loss this season. Notre Dame only gains 158.8 RYPG (77th), but they’ll have to focus on the run this week.

ND is gaining 285.5 PYPG (36th), but this week they won’t come close to that number. Greg Bryant, Tarean Folston, Cam McDaniel and Golson all have 30+ carries for the Fighting Irish. They’ve combined for 555 rushing yards and 6 rushing TD’s this year.

The Irish need to use their depth at RB to pound the football against a defensive line that has some holes. As the game wears on and the defense tires out I’d like to see some short play action passes called, as that’s how ND will beat Stanford at home this week.

Can Stanford Keep up on the Scoreboard With the Fighting Irish?

Stanford was lucky to beat Washington last week in my opinion. It was their first road game of the season, but if they come out flat again in Indiana they’re going to lose badly. The glaring problem for the Cardinal has been the amount of turnovers committed.

The Cardinal has forced five turnovers, but all of them came against the two cupcake opponents (UC Davis & Army). The offense has turned the football over nine times already including three last week against a Washington defense that isn’t that good.

The offense is averaging 27.5 PPG (80th), 165.5 RYPG (71st) and 247.8 PYPG (57th). Kevin Hogan has been a bright spot on the offense, as he’s completing 71% of his passes (71/100) for 883 passing yards, 8 TD’s and 2 INT’s through four games of the season.

Notre Dame is only allowing 11.5 PPG (4th), but if they have a weakness it’s through the air. The Irish are allowing 235.8 PYPG (63rd) and Hogan will have to beat ND through the air for the Cardinal to win, but it’ll be tough on the road in a pumped up ND Stadium.

Ty Montgomery has 26 receptions for 275 yards and 3 TD’s. He has the ability to takeover this game, but Notre Dame knows this and they’ll game plan to ensure that he’s doubled up, especially on passing downs. This game could go either way.

Stanford vs. Notre Dame Predictions

Once Andrew Luck left Stanford the team hasn’t been able to build up the offense to what it was when he was around. This will be a low scoring game and one mistake by either team could end up costing them the game, so it’ll be a great match-up to watch.

Golson has experience playing Stanford and he knows what it takes to beat them. ND is at home this week and they’ve been playing great football, as they’re 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. I feel the wrong team is favored and I’ll take a shot on ND at +110 odds.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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