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Falcons vs. Saints Money Line

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints
When: 1:00pm EST. Sunday, November 11, 2012
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome. New Orleans, Louisiana

The New Orleans Saints are now 3-5 (4-4 ATS) after beating the Eagles 28-13 on Monday Night Football. The Atlanta Falcons 8-0 (6-2 ATS) won a close 19-13 game at home against the Cowboys last Sunday night. If this game was being played in Atlanta, the money line wouldn’t be as close as it is (of course), but played in New Orleans makes it much more interesting.

With the Falcons almost in cruise control in the NFC South it’s hard to imagine them not having a let-down at some point. This week I think the Saints will be able to win at home to give the Falcons their 1st loss of the 2012-13 NFL season.

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Money Line: Week 10

This matchup opened up as a PK, but the Falcons are now favored by -2.5 points. The current Falcons vs. Saints money line is -135 for Atlanta and +115 for the Saints. With New Orleans listed as a +115 home underdog, I think there’s value here.

US Friendly
US Friendly
-1 (-125)
+1 (+105)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
o53 (-110) / u53 (-110)
o53 (-110) / u53 (-110)

Saints vs. Falcons SU, Moneyline Betting Analysis

New Orleans has won their L2 games at home against the Chargers (31-24) and Eagles (28-13). The Saints are still one of the best teams at home in my opinion, and they’re going to want to show everyone that they can still play with the top teams in the NFL.

Atlanta has been getting it done, but on paper they’ve been average in most categories. The Falcons score 27.5 PPG (7th) and the defense allows 17.9 PPG (5th), which is why they’re undefeated. Of course points scored & points allowed are the key, but the rest of their stats show that they’re beatable.

The problem with the Saints this year is they rank amongst the bottom feeders in every major defensive category. They allow an average of 28.6 PPG (29th), 294.8 PYPG (29th) and 176.5 RYPG (32nd). At home, those defensive stats don’t get too much better.

Offensively the Saints are still scoring tons, but they need to start making stops on defense. Drew Brees and the Saints have the #2 ranked passing offense (305.4 PYPG), but apart from Brees and the passing game, the team struggles offensively – evident in their 81 rushing yards/game average (29th). Last week the Saints split up the running duties between Ivory, Ingram and Thomas. They all gained 40+ rushing yards, which was a great sign. If they can run the ball again this week, the Falcons could be in real trouble. Darren Sproles is out again this week, so we could see the RB’s used similarly to last week.

This is a huge game for the Saints, as they still have an outside chance at making the playoffs. If they can limit Matt Ryan and the passing game, they have a good chance to beat the Falcons. The Falcons running game ranks 25th in the league, with just 98.5 RYPG.

The Falcons are 4-0 on the road this year, but the teams they’ve beaten have a combined record of 11-22. Even the teams they’ve beaten at home only combine for a 13-19 record, so before you get too attached to the Falcons, consider the level of competition they’ve played.

The Saints have won 3 of their last four, and damn-near won in Green Bay in week 4. This team is improving, and I expect this trend to continue.

Falcons / Saints Best Moneyline Odds & Free Pick

Bet on the New Orleans Saints +115 @ BetOnline

You may be able to get a better money line on the Saints later in the week once more public money hits Atlanta. The Saints have a lot to prove this week, and we’ll know for sure whether or not they’ve turned the corner.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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