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2019 Most Regular Season Rushing Yards Odds and Picks

NFL() @ NFL()

  • Where: X. NFL
  • When: September 5, 2019 8:00 pm EST
  • Moneyline: Ezekiel Elliot +300, Saquon Barkley +450, Todd Gurley +1400, Derrick Henry +1400, Le'Veon Bell +1600, Nick Chubb +1800, Melvin Gordon +2000, Joe Mixon +2000, Dalvin Cook +2500, Leonard Fournette +2500, James Conner +2800, David Johnson +3300, Christian McCaffrey +3300, Kerryon Johnson +3300, Chris Carson +3300, Marlon Mack +3300 and Phillip Lindsay +4000

The NFL season starts in less than two months. With little else going on in American sports other than MLB, we’re going to spend time analyzing some of the NFL futures markets.

Today, we’re going to predict the 2019-20 NFL rushing leader.

Last season, Ezekiel Elliot led the league in rushing with 1434 yards on 304 attempts (4.7 YDS/A). He was the only RB to eclipse 300 carries last season and will be the Cowboys workhorse again.

Saquon Barkley had an incredible rookie season last year and finished the season with 1307 yards on 261 carries (5.0 YDS/A), which was good for second-best behind Elliot.

Seven other RBs eclipsed 1000 rushing yards during the 2018-19 season, including Todd Gurley (1251), Joe Mixon (1168), Chris Carson (1151), Christian McCaffrey (1098), Derrick Henry (1059), Adrian Peterson (1042) and Phillip Lindsey (1037). The race for leading rusher is going to be exciting in 2019-20.

Top Contenders to Lead the NFL in Rushing Yards in 2019

Ezekiel Elliot Dallas Cowboys

Elliot is going to be the Cowboys workhorse again this season, but will he get 300+ carries? I’m not sure he will, as Dak Prescott and Amari Cooper are both playing for a big payday.

I also expect Elliot to continue developing in the passing game. He caught 77/95 targets last season for 567 receiving yards and those numbers could improve, which limits his rushing potential.

Barkley led all players with 2028 yards from scrimmage in his rookie season. He’s a threat every time he touches the football and he caught 91/121 targets for 721 receiving yards in 2018.

Odell Beckham Jr. is gone and I believe that hurts Barkley’s value. Defenses will be able to stack the box more this season. I expect Barkley to improve his receiving totals and regress in the run game.

Gurley is coming off a knee injury and he might never be the same RB. The Rams have also said they will limit his workload this upcoming season, so while his odds look enticing, he’s an easy fade.

Henry ranked 7th in rushing yards last season and averaged 4.9 YDS/A. The Titans are expected to contend in the AFC South and Henry will exceed last year’s 215 carries.

The Titans signed Dion Lewis, but he’s not likely to steal many carries from Henry. If Henry is able to exceed 250+ carries, he’s going to finish in the top three in rushing yards this season.

Bell has a lot to prove in New York after signing a huge contract. He’s the highest paid RB in the NFL and he’s also going to have fresh legs after sitting out the entire 2018-19 season.

Bell gained 1291 rushing yards during the 2017 regular season, which was 3rd best in the league. He’s going to get a lot of carries, but Sam Darnold will need to keep defenses honest for Bell to succeed.

My pick to be the leading rusher in 2019-20 is Chubb. As a rookie, Chubb gained 996 rushing yards on 192 carries. He was tied for second with 11 rushing attempts of 20+ yards.

In Chubb’s first six games, he only carried the football 16 times. In games where Chubb gained 100+ rushing yards, the Browns were 3-1, so I expect them to utilize Chubb more often in 2019.

Adding Beckham Jr. will keep defenses honest and Chubb is capable of breaking big plays. I also expect the Browns to win more games, which means more garbage time yardage for Chubb.

Longshots to Lead the NFL in Rushing Yards in 2019

Dalvin Cook Minnesota Vikings

Cook rushed for 615 yards on 133 carries last season, as he was limited to 11 games. Cook is healthy and will be a big part of the Vikings offense, but there are a lot of mouths to feed on offense.

Carson is the lead RB in Seattle and doesn’t have a lot of competition for carries. He finished as the 5th ranked RB last season with 1151 rushing yards on 247 carries (4.7 YDS/A).

I wouldn’t be surprised if Carson exceeds his rushing attempts total from last season. He’s not going to break a lot of big plays, but he could grind out 1300+ rushing yards with a bigger workload.

Lindsay led all RBs with a minimum of 150+ carries in YDS/A (5.4). He only had 192 carries, but gained 1037 yards. If his workload increases in Denver, he could surprise everyone again in 2019.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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