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2013 French Open Betting Preview

2013 French Open Grand Slam Tennis Tournament

When: Sunday, May 26th 2013 – Sunday, June 9th 2013
Where: Stade Roland Garros in Paris, France

The 2013 French Open will start on Sunday this week. The draw for the grand slam tournament isn’t until Friday, but I wanted to take a look at the outright winner markets now because once the draw is announced we’ll begin to see odds moving a lot based on how easy of a draw the favorites have.

Rafael Nadal and Serena Williams are the two favorites to win the 2013 French Open singles titles this year. Both players should be favored to win the tournament, but you have to question whether or not the odds have any value, as they’re very low and neither is a “lock” to win a highly contested grand slam.

2013 French Open Outright Winner Odds

Men's Singles (T20 Players)
Bet365.com
Women's Singles (T20 Players)
Bet365.com
Rafael Nadal1.66Serena Williams2.10
Novak Djokovic2.50Maria Sharapova4.50
Roger Federer13.00Victoria Azarenka6.50
David Ferrer26.00Li Na11.00
Andy Murray21.00Sara Errani 21.00
Tomas Berdych34.00Samantha Stosur23.00
Juan Martin del Potro23.00Petra Kvitova26.00
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga51.00Angelique Kerber26.00
Ernests Gulbis41.00Agnieszka Radwanska26.00
Stanislas Wawrinka67.00Ana Ivanovic51.00
Grigor Dimitrov51.00Svetlana Kuznetsova51.00
Nicolas Almagro81.00Caroline Wozniacki67.00
Richard Gasquet81.00Roberta Vinci81.00
Marin Cilic151.00Jelena Jankovic81.00
Jerzy Janowicz151.00Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova67.00
Milos Raonic101.00Sloane Stephens67.00
Alexandr Dolgopolov251.00Francesca Schiavone81.00
Benoit Paire301.00Dominika Cibulkova81.00
Tommy Haas151.00Marion Bartoli81.00
Gilles Simon251.00Yaroslava Shvedova126.00

Will Rafael Nadal Win His 8th French Open Title in the Last Nine Years?

Rafael Nadal isn’t the “King of the Clay Courts” for no reason. Nadal has won the French Open at Roland Garros seven times in the L8 years. The only other player to win the French Open since 2005 is Roger Federer who won the grand slam in 2009.

Nadal has played in eight singles tournaments this year since coming back from injury. Nadal has won six of those tournaments (5 on Clay) and finished in 2nd place in two other clay court tournaments. He has only lost to Zeballos and Djokovic in 2013.

Roger Federer is the only other player to have “consistent success” at the French Open, but nowhere near the dominance that Nadal has displayed in this tournament for nearly a decade. Since 2006 Federer has won the title once and finished 2nd place 4X.

Federer is now aging and out of his prime. In 2013 he has played in six tournaments with no titles yet. His best finish was in Rome this past week where he finished in 2nd place after losing to Nadal in the finals. The match wasn’t close either (6-1 / 6-3 Nadal).

Novak Djokovic should prove to be Nadal’s toughest competition at Roland Garros. Djokovic has never won the French Open. In 2013 he has been playing well and has already won the Aussie Open, Dubai Tennis Championships and Monte-Carlo (On Clay).

When you consider that 33 of the last 37 grand slam tournaments have been won by the “Big 3” (Djokovic, Federer & Nadal) it’s unlikely that another player will be able to win. However, you have to watch out for Ferrer, Berdych, Tsonga and Dimitrov.

Can Serena Williams Break Her Run of Bad Form at Roland Garros?

Serena Williams has been in great form in 2013, especially on the clay courts. Williams has won five singles titles this year already, which includes winning the title in her L4 tournaments. She has played 3 tournaments on clay this year and has won them all.

In the 1st grand slam this season in Australia, Williams struggled and was knocked out in the QF by Sloane Stephens. Williams has also struggled at Roland Garros in the past decade. The last time she made the French Open Finals was in 2002 when she won.

I think the women’s draw is going to be much more wide open than the men’s draw. In the L6 years six different women have emerged victorious at the French Open. Maria Sharapova won the event last year after beating Sara Errani in the finals.

Sharapova has won two titles this year in Indian Wells and Stuttgart. At the start of the season in Australia she was knocked out in the semi-finals to Li Na. Sharapova is 107-22 (83%) on clay courts in her career and is always a threat to win at Roland Garros.

Victoria Azarenka won the Aussie Open this year, but her form has been rather inconsistent. Azarenka looked great in Rome and managed to finish in 2nd place behind Serena, so it should be interesting to see if that form can continue in Paris this week.

Azarenka is 67-30 (69%) on clay courts in her career, which is her worst surface and I would avoid betting her outright. I think the value on the women’s draw is going to be on the Italians who have been performing great at the French Open in recent years.

Sara Errani and Francesca Schiavone are both getting a lot of interest. Schiavone won the French Open in 2010 and finished in 2nd place in 2011, but she is now 32 years old and her form during the European clay court season has been terrible.

Errani is an interesting E/W prospect at Roland Garros. Last year she finished in 2nd place at the French Open and I think she’ll be able to make another big run this year. Her form heading into the tournament has been great and she has battled tough.

She made it to the semi-finals in Madrid and Rome before losing to Serena Williams and Victoria Azarenka in those matches. She needs to have a good draw in order to make a run, but her form is getting better and I think she makes it to at least the SF.

2013 French Open Best Bets

On the women’s side I like Errani in the E/W market. The top favorites in the women’s singles tournament are all susceptible to losing at the French Open on clay courts. Sharapova I feel is the biggest threat to Errani this week at Roland Garros.

Serena Williams is in scorching form right now, but she seems to always falter at the French Open. Azarenka doesn’t excite me either because of her struggles on the clay courts. Look for an Italian to be in the finals this year again and I expect it to be Errani.

While I think that Nadal is going to win the French Open this year there is no way I’m betting on him. His odds are simply too low to even consider and I decided to search for some E/W value. I’ve decided to bet on Ferrer E/W at 26.00 odds.

Ferrer has yet to make the finals of a grand slam event, but he has been knocking on the door the last year. Ferrer made it to the semi-finals or quarter-finals in every grand slam last year and he also made it to the semis at the Aussie Open this year.

With Djokovic in questionable form and Federer becoming less dominant with age I think Ferrer has a shot this week. Ferrer is 31 years old, but he seems to be in his prime right now. Clay is also the best surface for Ferrer and I hope he gets a nice draw.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.


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