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2013 Belmont Stakes Betting Lines

2013 Belmont Stakes Preview – Run for the Carnations

When: 6:40pm ET. Saturday, June 8th 2013
Where: Belmont Park in Elmont, New York

The 145th running of the Belmont Stakes or “The Test of a Champion” is on Saturday night at Belmont Park. The race will be aired on NBC at 6:40pm ET and coverage begins at 5:00pm ET. This is one of the strongest and biggest (14 Runners) fields we’ve seen in recent Belmont Stakes.

There is no Triple Crown contender, but both Orb (Kentucky Derby Winner) and Oxbow (Preakness Stakes Winner) are expected to race in the 2013 Belmont Stakes. The main story is the battle between these two colts, but there are other contenders as well.

The Belmont Stakes is a true test of endurance for these 3-yo thoroughbreds. The Kentucky Derby is 1 ¼ mile (10 Furlongs), the Preakness Stakes is 1 3/16 mile (9.5 Furlongs) and the Belmont Stakes is the longest Triple Crown race at 1 ½ mile (12 Furlongs).

2013 Belmont Stakes Post Position & Odds

Post PositionHorseJockeyOdds
1Frac DaddyA. Garcia30/1
2Freedom ChildL. Saez8/1
3OveranalyzeJ. Velazquez12/1
4Giant FinishE. Prado 30/1
5OrbJ. Rosario 3/1
6IcognitoI. Ortiz, Jr. 20/1
7OxbowG. Stevens 5/1
8Midnight TabooG. Gomez 30/1
9RevolutionaryJ. Castellano 9/2
10Will Take ChargeJ. Court 20/1
11VyjackJ. Lea 20/1
12Palace Malice M. Smith15/1
13Unlimited BudgetR. Napravnik 8/1
14Golden SoulR. Albarado10/1

Can Orb Recover After a Poor Performance in the Preakness?

After winning the 2013 Kentucky Derby Orb was the odds-on (11/10) favorite to win the 2013 Preakness Stakes, but he managed a fourth place finish only. Orb was stuck on the inside behind the front pack most of the race and couldn’t make up the ground he needed to on the home stretch.

One thing you can’t question is Orb’s endurance. Orb will be able to stay the distance at Belmont Park. Joel Rosario will ride Orb and you can bet that the #1 jockey in 2013 will ensure that Orb doesn’t get boxed in. Orb will be tough to beat down the stretch if he’s one of the front runners.

Will Oxbow Be Able to Make it Two in a Row at Belmont?

Oxbow looked great when he won the 2013 Preakness Stakes last month in wire-to-wire fashion. Oxbow has the pedigree to be a contender on the 1 ½ mile track at Belmont, but he has struggled this year in longer races and he isn’t one of my selections.

In six races this year Oxbow has two wins (G1 Preakness & G3 Lecomte) and three finishes outside of the T3. His training session times have been good, but the distance worries me, as he was almost caught on the shorter final stretch at Pimlico. Expect him to be a pacesetter, but fall back late in the race.

2013 Belmont Stakes Top Contenders

Outside of the two favorites (Orb & Oxbow) there are a number of horses that should contend in the Run for the Carnations on Saturday. Revolutionary, Freedom Child, Golden Soul, Overanalyze, Vyjack, Palace Malice and Unlimited Budget are all contenders to win the 3rd Triple Crown race.

Todd Pletcher has had no shortage of chances to win a Triple Crown race this year, but he has been shutout through two races. Pletcher will have five horses in the field at Belmont including Revolutionary, Unlimited Budget, Overanalyze, Palace Malice and Midnight Taboo.

Revolutionary won his first two races in 2013 (G3 Withers & G2 Louisiana Derby) with jockey Javier Castellano aboard him. In the Derby Revolutionary was rode by Calvin Borel (3rd Place), but WinStar Farms announced Castellano will be the jockey at Belmont.

Revolutionary has an excellent pedigree and shouldn’t have a problem staying the distance. Orb has beaten Revolutionary twice already, but I think the longer distance will help Revolutionary. He has the speed and endurance to be a top contender.

Unlimited Budget is the only filly in the field for the 2013 Belmont Stakes. She won her 1st four races including the G2 Demoiselle, G3 Rachel Alexandra and G2 Fair Grounds Oaks. In her last race she finished 3rd place in the G1 Kentucky Oaks. Rosie will be riding the filly this weekend.

Overanalyze had a poor showing in the Kentucky Derby (11th) in his last race, but trainer Pletcher thought the colt had a good run and will be suited to the Belmont track better. Overanalyze won the G1 Arkansas Derby earlier this year in a dominating performance against a tough field that included Oxbow.

2013 Belmont Stakes Post Position Analysis

Out of the top contenders Overanalyze, Orb and Oxbow all did well at the post position draw on Wednesday. Overanalyze drew PP #3, which is the same post position that has gone on to win this race the L2 years (Ruler on Ice & Union Rags).

Orb drew PP #5, which could be much worse due to the big field in the Belmont Stakes this year. PP #5 has enjoyed success over the history of the race (13 Wins Lifetime), but the last horse to win out of this post position was Hansel in 1991.

Oxbow may have trouble staying the distance at the Belmont Stakes on Saturday, but he drew PP #7. PP #7 has won 3 of the L6 Belmont Stakes races. It has also been made apparent that jockey Gary Stevens may be dealing with a rib injury this week and if he isn’t 100% that’ll hurt Oxbow’s chances.

Frac Daddy drew PP #1, which historically has been the best post position to draw (21 Wins Lifetime), but in recent years it hasn’t been as kind. The last winner from PP #1 was A.P. Indy in 1992. With a big field in this year’s Belmont Stakes it’s important that jockey Garcia doesn’t get Frac Daddy boxed in.

Based on training times I think Frac Daddy will excel on the inside if the track is dry. Rain is on the forecast in Elmont, but if there is no rain and the track remains dry this longshot has a chance to contend. Frac Daddy was 2nd in the Arkansas Derby. If the track is dry he’ll be on my trifecta and superfecta bets.

2013 Belmont Stakes Predictions

I think PP #3 is going to make it three in a row in the Belmont Stakes. Orb and Oxbow are receiving all of the attention heading into the race and Overanalyze isn’t receiving much at all due to his poor 11th place finish at the Derby last month. However, this is a horse you don’t want to sleep on.

John Velazquez will be back aboard Overanalyze in the Belmont Stakes, which is another reason I like this colt. Velazquez rode Union Rags last year to victory in the Belmont Stakes and he also won aboard Rags to Riches in 2007. Velazquez has the experienced needed to win this race.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.

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