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Wichita State vs. Louisville Betting Lines

Wichita State Shockers vs. Louisville Cardinals – Final Four Round

When: 6:00pm ET. Saturday, April 6th 2013
Where: Georgia Dome in Atlanta, Georgia

The #9 Wichita State Shockers 30-8 (12-6 MVC) are the big surprise of the 2013 Final Four. The Shockers have knocked off one #1 seed (Gonzaga) already, but the #1 Louisville Cardinals 33-5 (14-4 Big East) will be a much tougher test for this mid-major. Below are the latest Wichita State vs. Louisville betting lines from our favorite mobile sportsbooks.

Latest Wichita State vs. Louisville Final Four Odds

The betting lines below are based on the time I’m writing this article (Thu. April 4th at 1:20am EST). For the latest lines, use either of the sportsbook links below.

Shockers vs. Cardinals Betting Preview

Wichita St. vs. LouisvilleWichita State has defeated Pittsburgh (73-55), Gonzaga (76-70), La Salle (72-58) and Ohio State (70-66). Louisville who is the only #1 seed left in the tourney has defeated North Carolina A&T (79-48), Colorado State (82-56), Oregon (77-69) and Duke (85-63).

Heading into the tournament Wichita State had an RPI rank of #37 and an SOS rank of #91. I didn’t have them making it deep on my bracket, but they’ve been impressive. Louisville had an RPI rank of #3 plus an SOS rank of #6 and has looked great.

Losing Kevin Ware to injury will hurt the Cardinals a bit, but I also think it gives them an edge. The entire team wants to win this championship for Ware now and any extra motivation that this talented Cardinals team has will prove to be an added edge.

Another edge for the Cardinals is experience that bettors often overlook. The Cardinals were in this same position last year, but they lost in the Final Four to Kentucky. Wichita State lacks experience and will need to continue riding on their momentum.

On paper the Cardinals have an edge in most statistical categories. Louisville averages 74.3 PPG, 37 RPG, 14.6 APG and 10.9 SPG while the Shockers average 70.6 PPG, 38.4 RPG, 13.6 APG and 7.5 SPG. Wichita State has a small edge in rebounds only.

Key Performers on the Cardinals & Shockers

Russ Smith has averaged 26 PPG in the 2013 March Madness tournament for the Cardinals. The offense runs through Smith and he’ll need another good game. The thing I like about Smith is that he gets to the line often (40X in the tournament).

Gorgui Dieng is a force in the paint and he has averaged 11 PPG in the tournament with 14 coming against Duke. Dieng has picked up 7.5 RPG as well and he has been getting better as the tournament has progressed. He has averaged 10 RPG in his L2 games.

Cleanthony Early has been the standout player on the Shockers in my opinion. Early has averaged 14.3 PPG and 7 RPG during the tournament and in the 1st two games he came off the bench. In the La Salle and Ohio State games Early started and played well.

Malcolm Armstead has averaged 15 PPG for the Shockers, but he has been inconsistent. In the Shockers last game against OSU he was just 6-21 from the field and he didn’t get to the line once. When he’s hitting shots he’s great, but he is a liability as well.

Wichita State vs. Louisville Final Four Predictions

I recommend waiting to bet the under until closer to tip-off because you’ll likely get a better line. The over/under opened at 131 points and has gone up 1.5 points with most of the action on the over. If bettors keep betting the over we’ll get a better line.

The Shockers and Cardinals both play very tough defense. Louisville allows an average of 58.1 PPG (14th) while Wichita State allows an average of 60.9 PPG (38th). Louisville also ranks #2 in defensive efficiency (0.841) and they just shutdown Duke.

With the point spread sitting at double digits I’m not betting on that market. Louisville’s closest game in the tournament was against Oregon where the Cardinals won by 8 points after letting the Ducks get back into the game in the 2H.

If I had to bet the point spread I would lean towards the Shockers at +10.5 points. I expect Louisville to win fairly comfortably, but 10.5 points is a lot to give a team like the Shockers, especially in a game that I think will be low scoring.

DonBest Preview of Wichita St. vs. Louisville

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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