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Vikings vs. Packers Week 5 Betting Lines – TNF Preview

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Preview – NFL Week 5 TNF

When: Thursday, October 2nd 2014 at 8:25pm ET
Where: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin
Watch: Live on CBS

The Minnesota Vikings 2-2 (2-2 ATS) have banded together despite losing Adrian Peterson and Matt Cassel to injury. Minnesota was able to pick up a home win over the Falcons (41-28) in week 4 action with rookie QB Teddy Bridgewater leading the charge.

I definitely feel that the Green Bay Packers 2-2 (1-2-1 ATS) were able to silence their critics. They went into Soldiers Field and beat up on the Bears (38-17). Fans were questioning the GB offense, but clearly the critics were acting a little prematurely in this case.

Packers vs. Vikings Point Spread, Money Line & Over/Under Odds

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These Thursday night games are tough for handicappers because we never know the true extent of a team’s injuries. Bridgewater is expected to play after spraining his ankle against Atlanta, but if he can’t suit up this spread is going to skyrocket before kick-off.

Will Green Bay Blowout Minnesota at Lambeau on Thursday Night Football?

The Packers are a T5 offense in the NFL and by the end of the season I’m confident they’ll prove that to the doubters. Aaron Rodgers had to tell the media and critics to “relax” prior to the Bears game, as a lot of critics were overanalysing the Packers 1-2 start.

If you look at their schedule it has been tough, as they’ve only played once at home. They had two tough road games against Seattle and Detroit. With them being at home this week against a weak Minnesota team they should be able to win by double digits.

Minnesota looked unstoppable against the Falcons, but that performance was definitely an outlier. Bridgewater looked great in his regular season debut, as he went 19 of 30 for 317 passing yards. He didn’t have a passing TD, but he did run one into the endzone.

As a team the Vikings gained 241 rushing yards (4 Rushing TD’s). Matt Asiata scored 3 rushing TD’s and gained 78 rushing yards on 20 carries, but Jerick McKinnon looked a lot better. McKinnon gained 135 rushing yards on 18 carries, but had zero TD’s.

Green Bay will have to stack the box and trust their secondary in this game. Bridgewater isn’t a huge threat through the air and he has limited weapons, so the Packers 5th ranked pass defense (214.0 PYPG) should have no problem keeping the rookie QB in check.

The Packers have to stack the box because they’re giving up a league worst 176.0 RYPG through four games. You’d think with AP out that GB would be fine stopping the run, but McKinnon and Asiata have proven to be a durable duo at RB in limited action.

Minnesota’s defense is giving up a lot of yards, but they are keeping teams out of the endzone for the most part. The Vikings are 10th in points allowed (21.0 PPG), but the defensive unit has been giving up 241.0 PYPG (17th) and 113.2 RYPG (16th).

Rodgers and the GB offense have put up 233.5 PYPG (15th) and 23.0 PPG (16th), but the run offense has struggled (73.0 RYPG – 28th). I expected Eddie Lacy to have a big season for the Packers, but he’s only averaging 3.0 YPC and he has only found the endzone once.

Vikings vs. Packers Predictions

I’m going with the Packers to cover the point spread at home, but I wouldn’t take them at –10 or higher. Peterson has always been strong against GB, but with him out and this being Bridgewater’s first road game I expect the Vikings to struggle on offense.

Rodgers proved the doubters wrong last week, but NFL fans are a fickle bunch and the Packers can’t afford to throw up a dud this week against their NFC North rivals. Divisional games are often very close, but this is a complete mismatch in my opinion.

Bridgewater won’t be 100% even if he ends up playing and he likely won’t look to run the football like last week. The Packers have a strong enough secondary to keep the Viking WR’s in check and that’ll allow them to focus on stopping the run.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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