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Vikings vs. Packers Betting Line

When: 8:00 pm ET. Saturday, January 5, 2013
Where: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin
My Pick: Vikings +8 (-110) at JustBet.cx

The Minnesota Vikings (10-6, 8-7-1 ATS) needed to win their week 17 game to earn an NFC Wild Card berth – which of course they did. Minnesota was at home and beat the Packers 37-34 thanks in large part to Adrian Peterson rushing for 199 yards and 1 TD on 34 carries. As a ‘reward’, they get to play the Packers again this Saturday. If they win this game, they’ll play the Packers again next week, and once again the week after that. Wait, something is wrong with my notes. Must be the eggnog hangover.

The Green Bay Packers (11-5, 9-7 ATS) won the NFC North this year ahead of the Vikings. Although GB lost to Minny last week, they beat the Vikings 23-14 at Lambeau Field in week 13. Peterson had 210 rushing yards and 1 TD, but Ponder had 2 INT’s in the game.

Current Vikings vs. Packers Betting Odds

Minnesota opened as +7.5 underdogs on the road against Green Bay and the line is still in the 7.5 to 8 range. The over/under in this NFC Wild Card matchup opened at 46.5 points and the line is now down to O/U 46 at most Las Vegas and online sportsbooks.

BetOnline.com
US Friendly
JustBet.cx
US Friendly
Spread
Money
Spread
Money
Vikings
Packers
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+320
-380
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
+305
-370
Over/Under
o46 (-110) / u46 (-110)
o46 (-110) / u46 (-110)

MIN vs. GB Stats at a Glance

Packers vs. Vikings Matchup & Betting

Last year the Vikings were 3-13, but they’ve managed to turn that around thanks to AP. Peterson was 2nd in carries this year (348), but he was easily the leading rusher with 2097 yards and 12 TD’s. He was just 9 yards short of the NFL rushing record.

The Vikings ranked 2nd in rushing yards (164.6 RYPG), but they struggled most of the season through the air (171.9 PYPG – 31st). Last week Christian Ponder got it done, completing 16/28 passes for 234 passing yards, 3 TD’s and no turnovers.

Bet on Vikings vs. Packers – U.S. Friendly

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Ponder threw to 8 different players in the week 17 tilt and he’ll need to move the ball around again. With that said, his duties will be limited as long as Peterson keeps torching the Packers. In 2 games this year Peterson has 409 rushing yards and 3 TD’s (2 rushing TD’s). Every defense makes plans on how to stop this guy, and it rarely works. No other runningback breaks as many big plays as All-Day, and nobody else records the yards after contact that he does. Stand in his way, get run over.

I don’t mean to go on & on about Adrian Peterson, but the truth is, he is the Vikings offense. Quarterbacks removed, no other player in the NFL has as much impact on his teams results as Peterson does. Nope, not even Megatron. If Peterson has a another huge day against the Packers, the game will be close. If not, the Packers cover. Yeah, it really is that simple.

Green Bay will win this game SU if Rodgers has a big game and the defense can shut down Peterson even a little bit. Rodgers went 28/40 in week 17 against Minnesota with 365 passing yards, 4 TD’s, 0 INT’s and 1 fumble.

James Jones has emerged this season as a clutch WR (64 receptions for 784 yards & 14 TD’s). Greg Jennings is back in form with 15 catches for 165 yards and 3 TD’s in the L2 weeks. The Vikings 24th passing defense (244.2 PYPG) will be tested again, and they’ll have to create turnovers to win this game.

Keys to Vikings/Packers NFC Wild Card Game

Clearly the two most important players on field will be Aaron Rodgers and Adrian Peterson. Even so, these two stars are going to need some help from other players if they expect to make it past the 1st round of the 2012-13 NFL playoffs. Here are my keys to the game.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction

I’m betting 1 unit on the Vikings at +8 (-110) at JustBet. The Vikings money line is +320 at BetOnline.com and while it’s tempting I think this game is going to be tough for Minny to win at Lambeau. However, getting over a TD is a gift with the way Peterson is playing, so I feel good about the Vikings ability to cover the spread.

The Packers haven’t showed us they’re capable of stopping Peterson, and that’s what they need to do to win. Ponder isn’t going to beat them, but he did look very good last week. This game will be won by a FG and I think the Packers win 20-17.

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ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting.


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