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Vikings vs. Giants Point Spread Predictions

Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Giants Monday Night Football Preview

When: Monday, October 21st 2013 at 8:40pm ET
Where: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey
Watch: Live on the ESPN Network

Two underachieving teams meet in the Monday Night Football match-up this week. The New York Giants 0-6 (1-5 ATS) will host the Minnesota Vikings 1-4 (2-3 ATS). Both teams are likely out of the playoff race unless they can start a big winning streak this week.

Giants vs. Vikings Betting Lines

The public thinks that the Giants are going to win and cover the point spread this week. The line opened up at –2.5 points earlier in the week and has been bet up to –3.5 points at most bookmakers. We’re unlikely to see any more line movement before kick-off.

Can Eli Manning Fix His Turnover Problems

The Giants have a turnover margin of –16 (Worst in the NFL) and Eli has already thrown 15 interceptions this season. Minnesota has averaged 2.4 takeaways per game (4th) with seven of those takeaways being INT’s. Manning will struggle against this secondary.

Manning needs his offensive line to play better than they have been as well. He has been sacked 16 times and now they have to try and stop the outside rush of Jared Allen who leads the Vikings with 3.5 sacks. The Vikings defense has a total of 10 sacks this year.

Turnovers have been killing this team, but the Giants do rank #8 in passing yards (272.2 PYPG). With Victor Cruz (541 Yards & 4 TD’s), Hakeem Nicks (442 Yards & 0 TD’s) and Reuben Randle (333 Yards & 3 TD’s) there are no excuses for the way Manning is playing.

Will Josh Freeman Prove to Be A Good Signing

Everyone knows about the QB problems in Minnesota and this week Josh Freeman will make his first start with his new team after the Buccaneers released him. I expect Freeman to play with a chip on his shoulder the remainder of the season and play well.

The Vikings only rank #21 in passing yards (222 PYPG), but in my opinion Freeman is a definite upgrade. Freeman has good chemistry with veteran Vincent Jackson in TB and I think we’ll see Greg Jennings improve his numbers (20 Receptions for 286 Yards & 2 TD’s).

Freeman also has Jerome Simpson (23 Receptions for 372 Yards & 0 TD’s) who can run the deep route and a reliable safety net in TE Kyle Rudolph (21 Receptions for 200 Yards and 2 TD’s). Rudolph is a big target in the red zone and let’s not forget Adrian Peterson.

Where This Game Will Be Won

This game is going to be won in the trenches. Neither of these teams will look to air it out early much unless they have to. Minnesota is a run-first offense with AP at the helm. The Vikings rank #13 in rushing yards (116.4 RYPG), but should improve on that this week.

The G-Men rank #26 in rushing yards allowed (123.3 RYPG) and Peterson should find a lot of running room. Peterson has 102 carries for 483 rushing yards (4.7 Avg.) and 5 TD’s. The focus will also be on AP, so Freeman will be able to mix up some play action passes.

This year the Giants rank #30 in rushing yards (67.8 RYPG), but the running game has been getting a lot better ever since they had to go out and sign Brendan Jacobs to a contract. They had to sign him because of the injuries that they have at the RB position.

Last week Jacobs rushed the football 22 times for 154 yards and 2 TD’s. Eli only threw the football 26 times in the game and that tells me that the G-Men are happy trying to work with the power running game. Expect them to pound the football early on.

Vikings vs. Giants Best Bet

This is going to be a close game I think and I also expect a lot of points to be scored. I’m going to betting on the Vikings +3.5 spread, as getting over a FG seems like a lot. Freeman is going to add some life to this Vikings offense and make them less one-dimensional.

Until Manning can show me that he isn’t going to blow the game by throwing turnovers it’s hard to bet for the G-Men. They have a lot of talent at WR, but if Manning is throwing duds it hurts the flow of the offense. Minnesota is strong enough to keep this close.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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