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Vikings Home Underdogs Against the Packers in Week 8

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Week 8 Preview

Start Time: Sunday, October 27th 2013 at 8:30pm ET
Stadium: MetroDome in Minneapolis, Minnesota
Watch: Live on NBC

This week on Sunday night football the Green Bay Packers 4-2 (3-3 ATS) travel to the MetroDome to play the Minnesota Vikings 1-5 (2-4 ATS) in an AFC North match-up. The rivalry between these two teams is fierce, but this game may not end up being too close.

In my opinion these two teams are heading in opposite directions. Green Bay has won their last three games and are starting to look like the team we thought they’d be. The Vikings have been blown out two weeks in a row (Panthers & Giants) after their bye week.

Latest Packers vs. Vikings Betting Lines

A lot of online bookmakers opened this line at –10.5 points, but we’ve seen the point spread drop to –9.5 points despite over 60% of the action coming in on the Packers. The action on the over/under has been split and currently the total is O/U 47.5 points.

Bovada Live Odds
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
Point Spread:
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
Money Line
-400
+325
Game Total
O47.5 (-110)
U47.5 (-110)

How Will Aaron Rodgers Fare Against the Vikings Defense

Last week Aaron Rodgers was missing Randall Cobb due to injury and he’ll be out again this week. However, that didn’t seem to slow down the Packers offense. Rodgers completed 25/36 passes last week against the Browns for 260 passing yards, 3 TD’s and 0 INT’s.

WR Jarrett Boykin who is in his second year stepped up last week with 8 receptions for 103 yards and 1 TD in Cobb’s absence. GB has averaged 28 PPG (4th), 300 PYPG (4th) and 134.7 RYPG (6th) offensively and I expect the offense to put up big numbers again.

Minnesota has lived off of their defense and run game for years now, but this year the defense has been bad. The Vikings defense is allowing opposing teams to average 30.2 PPG (29th), 288.8 PYPG (29th) and 102.3 RYPG (14th), which is terrible by their standards.

Rodgers should have no problem throwing for 300+ passing yards on this secondary, which has struggled all season. Three QB’s have already thrown for 300+ on the Vikings. Minnesota does have 7 INT’s this season, but Rodgers has only tossed 4 INT’s all year.

Can Ponder Lead the Vikings to A Win

Josh Freeman started last week, but he looked pretty bad. Freeman completed 20/53 pass attempts for 190 yards, 0 TD’s and 1 INT. I thought he’d play much better. Now it appears that Freeman is “hurt” and Christian Ponder will be back in the starting role.

On the season Ponder has completed 59/100 (59%) passes for 691 yards, 2 TD’s and 5 INT’s. Ponder has been sacked 10 times and his QBR (65.9) is terrible. In four career games against the Packers Ponder hasn’t fared well and his QBR (68) isn’t good at all.

The Vikings only average 214.3 PYPG (24th), 102 RYPG (19th) and 22 PPG (19th) on offense. Even the rushing game, which is normally their bread and butter, has struggled this season. Part of the reason for that is because the Vikings have had to pass more this year.

Adrian Peterson has only had 115 carries this season. He has gained 511 rushing yards (4.4 Avg.) and he has 5 rushing TD’s. His yards per rush attempt is fine, but he needs more touches, which will only happen if the defense can start keeping them in games.

One of the most important battles in this game will be the Vikings run game against the Packers rush defense. The Packers have one of the best run stopping units in the NFL (79 RYPG – 3rd) and if they can shutdown Peterson the Vikings will struggle to score points.

Best Bet in Packers vs. Vikings

Last season these two teams played each other three times in the regular season and playoffs. The Packers covered a –7 point and a –10.5 point spread against Minny last season. The Vikings won SU at home against GB last season, but Minny had 444 total yards.

The chance of the Vikings gaining 444 total yards on offense in this game is very slim. They’ve been rotating QB’s nearly weekly as of late, Peterson isn’t getting enough touches and the defense is one of the worst Minnesota has had in a long time.

I don’t like betting big favorites, especially in division match-ups, but the Vikings are a mess this season. The bye week didn’t help at all with getting back on track and I have a feeling the Packers are going to put up a lot of points this week on the Minny defense.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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