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USC vs Arizona Betting Lines

Game: #9 USC Trojans (6-1, 2-5 ATS) vs Arizona Wildcats (4-3, 4-3 ATS)
Kickoff: 3:30pm EST. October 27, 2012
Location: Arizona Stadium. Tucson, AZ.

Sportsbooks
Spread
Total
BetOnline.com
US Friendly
USC
ARI
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
o65.5 (-110)
u65.5 (-110)
Bovada.lv
US Friendly
USC
ARI
-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
-
-

Aside from a road loss against Stanford earlier in the season, the USC Trojans have been rolling through a nearly perfect season. Unfortunately, their backers can’t say the same. Although they’re 6-1 this year, USC is just 2-5 against the spread. This week, USC comes in as -6.5 to -7 point road favorites against the resurgent Arizona Wildcats.

Both teams are fielding explosive offenses that put up big numbers (USC – 34.9 ppg, AZ – 39.1 ppg). That may spell trouble for the Wildcats, who are giving up around 30 ppg.

USC Trojans Betting Lines & Analysis

Best USC Point Spread: -6.5 (-110) at BetOnline.com
Best USC Money Line: N/A

Matt Barkley (140-213, 1773 yards, 22 TD’s, 6 INT’s) and the Trojans should be well rested this week after their easy 50-6 romp through Buffalo country. Barkley threw for 6 TD’s as he became the PAC-12’s all-time TD pass leader.

USC is the third leading defense when it comes to sacks, and 11th in tackles. Overall the USC defense is very good, but not great. If they can play up to their potential, they could force Arizona to play a rapid fire game that isn’t necessarily their strong point.

Against Colorado, the Trojans played like a well-oiled machine, striking quickly and moving on. With a time of possession of just 22:50, they may have been the most efficient scoring machine in NCAAF last week. But, it was Colorado, a team that….well they just suck.

It was the team’s fourth straight win, and the perfect momentum builder for the long, final stretch of the season. None of this spells good news for Arizona.

Arizona Wildcats Betting Lines & Analysis

Best Arizona Point Spread: +7 (-115) at Bovada.lv
Best Arizona Money Line: N/A

At 4-3 Arizona is having a good season by their standards, but they’re going to be seriously challenged playing USC. I like that they played competitively against then-#18 Oregon State, and then-#18 Stanford, but the current #9 Trojans are a different animal entirely.

For starters, the Arizona rushing defense hasn’t been good, giving up 13 TD’s already. That’s not a good sign when your opponent is fielding guys like RB Silas Reed (104 carries, 583 yards, 6 TD’s). The Washington Huskies were able to put up 124 rushing yards on the Wildcats…while losing 52-17. So, I expect a big day for the Trojan RB’s, on top of their potent passing game.

Offensively, expect to see QB Matt Scott (200-311, 2355 yards, 17 TD’s, 8 INT’s) running for his life all night long. He’s already been sacked 12 times this year and  that number should increase significantly this week.

The Arizona Wildcats simply aren’t up to the challenge of playing a team of USC’s caliber. There’s no question that they’ll be a PAC-12 force in years to come, but that’s still a ways off.

USC vs. Arizona Point Spread

USC is on a mission this season and the Wildcats are just another bump on the path. It’s tough to see a scenario where Arizona competes SU, even though it’s a home game for them.

Any time two teams that border Nevada are playing, the Las Vegas factor has to be considered. I think an influx of Arizona fans may be keeping this line a bit lower than it should be. Yes, the Wildcats have played competitively against ranked opponents, but USC is their toughest test to date. Also, a lot of the preseason glitz that USC was garnering has washed away, and their spreads are more realistic now.

At -6.5 (-110) at BetOnline, the Trojans offer nice value and should have no trouble covering the point spread.

USC vs Arizona Over/Under

At the time I’m writing this article (Thursday at 6:30pm EST), the USC vs. Arizona over/under is 65.5 (-110) on either side at BetOnline. Bovada has yet to post their over/under.

Both of these teams are capable of going for 40+ points, but I doubt we’ll see either of them do it. Both teams put up 50+ in their last outings, but the USC defense isn’t going to allow anything like that. In fact, I’m not sure Arizona is good for more than 21 in this game, and I don’t think we’ll see more than 35-40 from USC. If I’m right, the total will be somewhere in the 56-61 range, giving us great value on the under.

I think that 65.5 is a bit on the high side, so I’m taking u65.5 (-110) at BetOnline.com.

Trojans vs. Wildcats Money Line

As of Thursday night, none of the major books have posted their USC vs. Arizona money lines yet. BetOnline will probably post their money line on Friday, and Bovada should post early on Saturday. If I get a chance, I’ll update this post with the current money lines and my recommendations after they get posted.

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This article was written by Jess

Jess is the editor of MobileSportsBetting.com. His job duties include everything nobody else is doing, and making sure it all gets done on time. When he gets a chance, Jess loves to write about NFL, MLB, Formula 1, and tennis betting.


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