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U.S. Open Tennis Championship Men’s Futures Odds and Pick

Australia(18 wins) @ United States(85 wins)

  • Where: Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Queens, New York
  • When: August 28, 2017 11:00 am EST
  • Moneyline: Roger Federer (+125), Rafael Nadal (+250), Andy Murray (+650), Alexander Zverev (+700), Nick Kyrgios (+1400), Marin Cilic (+1400), Grigor Dimitrov (+1600), Milos Raonic (+2000), Dominic Thiem (+2000), Juan Martin Del Potro (+2000), John Isner (+4000)

Roger Federer cannot become the first Golden Slam singles player since Steffi Graf in 1988. But he can become the first pro in quite a while to win every Grand Slam entered during a calendar year. In a season described as “magic” by many, King Roger has roundly egged many critics who considered him just an old, wounded lion.

But are his favorites’ odds on the Bovada futures board – with nary even a 150% pay-back on a winning bet – a little too trusting? After all, Rafael Nadal has vaulted back into a #1 World ranking, and has two U.S. Open titles to his name.

As with our previous look at golf’s final major of 2017, let’s take a capsule look at several horses in the Men’s Singles race in New York…then offer a value pick or two for a solid hard-court investment.

The Favorites

Roger Federer 

Federer is a shaky bet at his current futures line for a number of reasons, despite his multiple Grand Slams in ’17. He lost to Alexander Zverev in Montreal, withdrew in Cincinnati due to a flare-up of old back issues, and has not won the U.S. Open since 2008.

He’s just not at 100%, and has a grueling fast-paced set of matches in front of him. Federer can win, but the chances of him winning 5 or 6 out of 10 tries would not be favorable.

Rafael Nadal

El Nino may be a more solid futures bet at twice the payout on a winner. He has quietly revamped and improved his form as the season progressed, and is the only player besides Federer to be crowned on a Grand Slam court in 2017. His #1 seed and overall improved health should serve him in good stead at Flushing Meadows.

Andy Murray 

Murray would potentially make a value-bet at (+650), simply due to his recent U.S. Open title (2012), enduring talent and well-rested condition. However, he is suffering the effects of a hip injury and has had a miserable 2017. That calls his line into question even at 6/1 – based on merit, the odds would be longer. It’s only Murray’s good name keeping him so high on the board.

Alexander Zverev

Zverev is absolutely one of the rising stars of men’s tennis, claiming two Masters titles in Rome and Montreal by besting Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer. He has now achieved a career-high World ranking of #6. His battles with Nadal are well-noted. However, (+700) odds are again a bit generous. If you’re going to bet on a player who would need 10 tries to beat either of the top two favorites 3 or 4 times, why not look for a real jackpot.

Is there a dark horse?

Click here to wager on Rafael Nadal or Grigor Dimitrov to win the 2017 U.S. Open and get a welcome bonus from Bovada Sportsbook. 

Stan Wawrinka and Novak Djokovic are out. Locals are touting Sam Querrey, while Nick Kyrgios remains a popular attraction. But for high-payoff futures wager, look at Grigor Dimitrov, whose (+1600) odds would be much shorter if book-makers focused on form and upward-trend most of all.

The Bulgarian professional beat Kei Nishikori to win the Brisbane International, then lost a five-set semi-final epic against Rafael Nadal after a brilliant run at the Australian Open.

Dimitrov did not drop a set while winning a Masters title in Cincinnati, defeating Nick Kyrgios in the final.

Finally, a #7 seed will keep him from facing Nadal, Murray, Federer or Zverev until the quarters. Not a bad deal for a player already banking on his momentum to carry the day.

Picks for the U.S. Open – Favorite and long-shot

Nadal makes a great bet for the high-roller. He is probably just as likely to win as Federer, and comes with twice as favorable odds.

However, for a casual play looking for a sweet cash winner, take the agile and primed Dimitrov for a potential thrill-ride to the final.

Kurt BoyerThis article was written by Kurt Boyer

A freelance sportswriter from Missouri, Kurt has covered court, gridiron, rink and ring for 10+ years. He muses about High School football on social media as The Gridiron Geek.


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