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The Winless Raiders Host the Chiefs on TNF in Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders Preview

When: Thursday, November 20th 2014 at 8:30pm ET
Where: O.co Coliseum in Oakland, California
Watch: NFL Network

The Kansas City Chiefs (7-3) and Oakland Raiders (0-10) play at the O.co Coliseum on Thursday night football. This isn’t an ideal TNF primetime match-up, but I like this game from a betting standpoint and I’ll explain why I’ll be on the Chiefs to cover ATS.

Kansas City is one of the hottest teams in the NFL, as they come into this match-up on a 5-game winning streak. Oakland is the lone team in the NFL that remains winless, but they typically play stronger when they’re playing a rival from the AFC West.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Betting Lines

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The point spread feels like a trap, as the Chiefs should be higher than a TD favorite. Everyone will be betting on the Chiefs at this line and you can include me. This line has to go up before kick-off, so I’d jump on the –7 on KC now before the hook is added on.

Why I’m Betting on KC to Beat OAK

It’s safe to say that Jamaal Charles is back, as he had 159 rushing yards and 2 TD’s against the Seahawks last week. You can’t forget about Knile Davis either who is still playing a small role. As a team the Chiefs are averaging 141.2 RYPG (4th) this season.

A huge problem for the Raiders has been their poor run defense. Oakland allows 129.8 RYPG (27th) and there is no way that they’ll be able to stop the Charles/Davis duo. KC scored three rushing TD’s on Seattle and should easily match that against Oakland.

These two teams are amongst the worst at forcing turnovers. The Raiders have forced 8 turnovers (30th) while the Chiefs have only forced 7 turnovers (31st). However, the Raiders have turned the football over a whopping 20 times already this season.

Derek Carr has 9 INT’s this season and he’ll have to air it out most of the game, as the Chiefs will likely be up. Kansas City has the #1 pass defense (201.6 PYPG) in the NFL and they have to be excited about playing a turnover prone team like the Raiders.

In my opinion the only way that Oakland can stay close in this match-up is if they can run the football, which they can’t. Oakland is averaging a league-worst 63.0 RYPG. KC allows 124.4 RYPG (25th), but the Raiders won’t be able to exploit that weakness.

Oakland isn’t much better in the pass game (213.4 PYPG – 25th) and I already mentioned that the Chiefs are the best at stopping the pass in the entire league. The Chiefs allow 17.1 PPG (2nd) while the Raiders offense is scoring a league-worst 15.2 PPG.

Players to Watch in KC @ OAK

Charles has missed time this season, yet he still has 692 rushing yards and 8 TD’s on 133 carries. Charles is also third on the team in receptions (22). With the way Charles is running the football right now it wouldn’t surprise me if he ran for over 200 yards this week.

For the Raiders this game comes down to Carr and how well he plays. If Carr is turning the football over the Raiders will have no shot at keeping this one close. Carr isn’t a threat on the ground and he’s only averaging 5.6 yards per passing attempt.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Predictions

The Chiefs dominated both H2H meetings last season and I don’t see that trend changing. This is the first time that they’ve played this season and the Raiders are running into a hot Chiefs team. The only thing worrying me is that this is a letdown spot for KC.

Alex Smith isn’t likely to put up big numbers in the pass game for the Chiefs, but he also rarely turns the football over. Oakland will have a tough time moving the football down the field on this Chiefs defense and this looks like it should be another TNF blowout.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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