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The Masters 2015 betting: McIlroy favored to win at Augusta

2015 The Masters Betting GuideDates: Thursday, April 9th – Sunday, April 12th 2015
Course: Augusta National Golf Club in Georgia
Watch: ESPN & CBS

RORY McIlroy is favored to win The Masters at Augusta, but the biggest story has been the news that Tiger Woods will compete in the tournament. The Masters will be played at the Augusta National Golf Club – a par-72, 7435-yard golf course.

So, what does it take to win at Augusta?

We’re going to take a look at the most important trends to consider.

To win The Masters you’re going to need a strong tee-to-green game.

A golfer needs to be long and accurate off the tees. The last seven winners of The Masters have ranked in the T60 in driving distance and have had 57% driving accuracy or better. GIR is another important stat – since 2008 every winner has hit 68% GIR or better.

We should also look at the overall scoring ranks on the PGA Tour, as the last eight winners have ranked T63 or better in this statistic on the season. The greens are tough at Augusta too and the winner will need to be able to handle long putts in windy conditions.

It’s also easy to rule out many golfers in the field based on historical trends in The Masters. For example, only one golfer has ever won The Masters without winning a prior PGA event since 1948 and only one golfer has won his debut at Augusta.

The last fifteen winners of The Masters have made the cut the year prior in this tournament and the last twelve winners have been in good form (Must have multiple T10 finishes on the season). Recent form and course form at Augusta are both important factors.

These trends may not come through in 2015, but I’ll be basing most of my tips on this information.

Best bets to win The Masters in 2015

Jordan Spieth ranks 2nd in the FedEx Cup and he’s ranked 4th in the official world rankings. He has won the Hero World Challenge and Valspar Championship already this season, plus he has finished in the top ten in 7 of 10 events on the PGA Tour.

No golfer is playing better either. In Spieth’s last three events he has a 1st place finish and two T2 finishes. Last year was the first time he played in The Masters and he ended up finishing T2. Spieth also checks the box in most of the statistical categories.

Spieth averages 293.5 yards off the tee (T55 in driving distance), hits 65.7% GIR (T103) and he ranks 3rd in scoring average. Spieth also ranks T4 in strokes gained from the tee-to-green (1.55) and T5 in strokes gained putting (.801).

Out of the five golfers paying under 20/1 odds, Spieth is my best bet and my only two-unit bet in the outright market.

Where do I start with Lee Westwood? He has never won a major and somehow he has only won two PGA events in his career (St. Jude Classic in 2010 and Freeport-McDermott Classic in 1998). Yet he often finishes near the top of the leaderboard in The Masters.

Westwood has yet to finish in the top ten on the PGA Tour this season through seven events, but he has two top ten finishes on the European Tour in 2015. Since 2010, Westwood has finished in T2, T11, T3, T8 and T7 in The Masters. Is this finally his year?

Despite not having a top ten finish on the PGA Tour this season – he ranks relatively well. Westwood is averaging 293.8 yards per drive (T53 driving distance), he’s hitting 65.2% GIR (T116) and he’s ranked T14 in scoring average.

His putting has been better this year than what we’ve come to expect out of Westwood and at 50/1 he’s a top each-way punt.

Matt Kuchar doesn’t check the box in every category discussed above, but I can’t pass him up. The weather is expected to be poor with a good chance of rain at some point in the weekend. Kuchar is among the best at dealing with rough conditions.

Kuchar started the season with three top ten finishes in six events, but his best finish since March in five events has been T15.

However, his form at Augusta has been great and he has cashed in the E/W market twice in the last three years. Kuchar has finishes of T3 (2012), T8 (2013) and T5 (2014) at The Masters recently and if the weather is bad Kuchar will be in with a strong chance.

Top Australian at The Masters

The odds in the top Australian market at The Masters are as followed: Jason Day (2.2), Adam Scott (2.5), Marc Leishman (10.0), John Senden (10.0), Geoff Ogilvy (12.0) and Antonio Murdaca (67.0). This will likely be a battle between Day and Scott only.

We can rule Murdaca out from the start. Leishman (T4 in 2013), Senden (T8 in 2014) and Ogilvy (T4 in 2011) all have a top ten finish in The Masters in the last several years, but none of these three have shown any sort of consistency at Augusta.

Day has played in The Masters four times with finishes of T2 (2011), WD (2012), T3 (2013) and T20 (2014). Scott has finishes of T2 (2011), T8 (2012), 1st (2013) and T14 (2014). Scott is lacking recent form, but the Aussie always brings his A-game to Augusta.

Complete 2015 The Masters winner betting odds

The below odds are from Bovada (USA only). If you live outside of the USA you should wager on The Masters at Bet365, as they have the best odds on many golfers in the outright market.

Rory McIlroy – 11/2
Jordan Spieth – 8/1
Bubba Watson – 10/1
Jason Day – 14/1
Dustin Johnson – 16/1
Henrik Stenson – 18/1
Phil Mickelson – 18/1
Adam Scott – 20/1
Jimmy Walker – 22/1
Patrick Reed – 28/1
Justin Rose – 33/1
Matt Kuchar – 33/1
Rickie Fowler – 33/1
Tiger Woods – 33/1
Brandt Snedeker – 40/1
J.B. Holmes – 40/1
Lee Westwood – 40/1
Sergio Garcia – 40/1
Billy Horschel – 50/1
Louis Oosthuizen – 50/1
Brooks Koepka – 66/1
Hideki Matsuyama – 66/1
Jim Furyk – 66/1
Keegan Bradley – 66/1
Paul Casey – 66/1
Angel Cabrera – 80/1
Charl Schwartzel – 80/1
Gary Woodland – 80/1
Hunter Mahan – 80/1
Ian Poulter – 80/1
Martin Kaymer – 80/1
Ryan Moore – 80/1
Ryan Palmer – 80/1
Victor Dubuisson – 80/1
Zach Johnson – 80/1
Bill Haas – 100/1
Luke Donald – 100/1
Chris Kirk – 125/1
Graeme McDowell – 125/1
Jamie Donaldson – 125/1
Jason Dufner – 125/1
Padraig Harrington – 125/1
Russell Henley – 125/1
Shane Lowry – 125/1
Webb Simpson – 125/1
Branden Grace – 150/1
Jonas Blixt – 150/1
Kevin Na – 150/1
Marc Leishman – 150/1
Steve Stricker – 150/1
Ernie Els – 175/1
Miguel Angel Jimenez – 175/1
Brendon Todd – 200/1
Charley Hoffman – 200/1
Danny Willett – 200/1
Fred Couples – 200/1
John Senden – 200/1
Joost Luiten – 200/1
Sang-Moon Bae – 200/1
Bernd Wiesberger – 250/1
Cameron Tringale – 250/1
Camilo Villegas – 250/1
Geoff Ogilvy – 250/1
Matt Every – 250/1
Morgan Hoffman – 250/1
Stephen Gallacher – 250/1
Thomas Bjorn – 250/1
Anirban Lahiri – 300/1
Bernhard Langer – 300/1
James Hahn – 300/1
Kevin Stadler – 300/1
Kevin Streelman – 300/1
Robert Streb – 300/1
Seung-yul Noh – 300/1
Thongchai Jaidee – 300/1
Vijay Singh – 300/1
Ben Martin – 350/1
Brian Harman – 400/1
Erik Compton – 400/1
Mikko Ilonen – 400/1
Ben Crane – 500/1
Jose Maria Olazabal – 500/1
Trevor Immelman – 500/1
Darren Clarke – 750/1
Mark O’Meara – 1000/1
Mike Weir – 1000/1
Tom Watson – 1000/1
Bradley Neil – 1500/1
Corey Conners – 1500/1
Gunn Yang – 2000/1
Matias Dominguez – 2000/1
Scott Harvey – 2000/1
Ian Woosnam – 2500/1
Ben Crenshaw – 5000/1
Byron Meth – 5000/1
Larry Mize – 5000/1
Sandy Lyle – 7500/1

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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