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Texans vs. Colts Week 15 Betting Preview – AFC South

Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts Preview – NFL Week 15

Start Time: Sunday, December 14th 2014 at 1:00pm ET
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana
Station: Watch Live on CBS

The Houston Texans 7-6 (8-5 ATS) and Indianapolis Colts 9-4 (9-4 ATS) have both been great bets this season. The Colts escaped with a win over Cleveland (25-24) last week and that hurt the Texans because it’s unlikely that they’ll be able to catch Indy now.

Houston has won two in a row against the Titans and Jaguars, but this is a real test for them in the AFC South. Houston is still alive in the division and wild card race, but they need to find a way to beat Indy on the road or else they’ll be right out of the playoff picture.

Texans vs. Colts Betting Lines

Bet on this AFC South divisional game at the Bovada Sportsbook ($250 Bonus).

A –6.5 point line in favor of the Colts makes sense and it wouldn’t surprise me if the line were bet up to –7 by Sunday. The total is big in this game as well and I’m not sure it should be, as both of these teams will be looking to grind out a hard fought victory.

HOU @ IND Stats Pack

The Colts clearly have the better offense in this match-up, but the Texans are stronger defensively. Indy beat Houston (33-28) on the road back in week six already, but the Texans are playing better now. Houston has to win, so I expect them to keep this competitive.

Texans vs. Colts Point Spread Analysis

The biggest match-up in this game is the Colts passing offense (321.8 YPG – 1st) against the Texans passing defense 264.0 PYPG (28th) by a mile. If the Texans secondary is unable to stop Andrew Luck and the Colts passing attack this game will be over very quickly.

Luck threw for 370 passing yards against the Texans earlier this season and T.Y Hilton led the way with 223 receiving yards. Houston can’t afford to allow Luck to go off again. Houston is playing better defense since their bye week, but this is their biggest test.

Stopping the Colts run game shouldn’t be as much of a problem. The Colts average 110.5 RYPG (17th) while the Texans are allowing 109.0 RYPG (15th). Dan Herron has come on strong for Indy the past couple weeks, but the Texans will be able to keep him in check.

Not only will the Texans need to stop Luck from airing it out all game, but they’ll need to score some points as well. Houston comes into this game averaging 213.2 PYPG (24th) and 137.1 RYPG (4th). Arian Foster is back and he just rushed for 127 yards on the Jags.

DeAndre Hopkins was quiet against Jacksonville, but he’ll need to step up against the Colts. Foster isn’t going to be able to shoulder the entire load and he’ll need help from the Texans pass game. The good news is that Ryan Fitzpatrick is playing better as of late.

One area where the Colts struggle is on defense. Indy is allowing 247.8 PYPG (22nd) and 108.0 RYPG (13th). Foster will be able to find running room and if they Colts try to stack the box the Texans WR’s are talented enough to beat one-on-one coverage consistently.

Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts Picks

The Texans season is on the line and I expect them to fight hard, but come up slightly short. The Colts are 4-0 in division games and they know how important it is to beat Houston to lock up the AFC South. Indy wins, but they don’t cover the big point spread.

I don’t trust the Texans secondary to hold up for the entire game. J.J. Watt will look to wreak havoc on Luck, but Luck does a great job at scrambling for a big QB. I expect this game to be messy with multiple mistakes and I’ll take the points in this division game.

ScottThis article was written by Scott

Scott is one of the original degenerates working for MobileSportsBetting.com. Although he's most successful betting on NFL football and international soccer, he's also active in UFC and NHL hockey betting. Follow Scott on Twitter


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